Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-LGD%Change12345Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Montenegro146-2104In1001.04.925Montenegro
Serbia146-2159In+1.01002.0+0.014.957Serbia
Poland146-253Out-1.01003.0-0.014.816Poland
Switzerland102-6-131Out1004.019.098Switzerland
Estonia80-8-185Out1005.023.082Estonia

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday, 7/7
Switzerland 45 Serbia 88
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Serbia+2.7
+0.0
Poland-2.7
-0.0
Switzerland*Out
Poland 53 Montenegro 50
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montenegro-0.4
-0.1
Serbia-1.1
Poland+1.5
+0.1
Switzerland*Out
Netherlands 73 Slovenia 64
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Serbia*-0.1
Poland*+0.1
Wednesday, 7/11
Serbia 67 Poland 62
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montenegro-0.1
+0.1
Serbia+9.0
+0.1
Poland-8.9
-0.2
Montenegro 81 Estonia 61
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MontenegroIn
+0.0
Serbia-0.0
Poland-1.3
-0.0
Saturday, 7/14
Estonia 58 Serbia 97
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SerbiaIn
+0.0
PolandOut
-0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.