B Playoff Chances 2011-2012Serbia +1.0, Poland -1.0 Chance Will Make Playoffs Explain Big GamesWho should we root for? Explain Saturday, 7/7 | Switzerland 45 Serbia 88 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Serbia | +2.7 | | +0.0 | | Poland | -2.7 | | -0.0 | | Switzerland | *Out | | | | | Poland 53 Montenegro 50 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Montenegro | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | Serbia | -1.1 | | | | Poland | +1.5 | | +0.1 | | Switzerland | *Out | | | | | Netherlands 73 Slovenia 64 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Serbia | *-0.1 | | | | Poland | *+0.1 | | | | | Wednesday, 7/11 | Serbia 67 Poland 62 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Montenegro | -0.1 | | +0.1 | | Serbia | +9.0 | | +0.1 | | Poland | -8.9 | | -0.2 | | | Montenegro 81 Estonia 61 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Montenegro | In | | +0.0 | | Serbia | | | -0.0 | | Poland | -1.3 | | -0.0 | | | Saturday, 7/14 | Estonia 58 Serbia 97 | | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Serbia | In | | +0.0 | | Poland | Out | | -0.0 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know. |