Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-LGD%Change12345Avg.ChangeRPIStrength
Italy157-1111In1001.01.932Italy
Slovak157-199In1001.0+0.031.922Slovak Republic
Sweden157-181In1001.01.870Sweden
Belarus146-270In1001.04.876Belarus
Montenegro146-2104In1001.04.925Montenegro
Lithuania146-2105In1002.0-0.034.929Lithuania
Serbia146-2159In+1.01002.0+0.014.957Serbia
Spain146-293In1002.09.913Spain
Latvia135-3110In1002.010.938Latvia
Ukraine135-355In+43.11002.0+0.8411.812Ukraine
Poland146-253Out-1.01003.0-0.014.816Poland
Greece135-348Out1003.011.792Greece
Hungary135-367Out-43.11003.0-0.4311.854Hungary
Slovenia124-4-28Out1003.014.364Slovenia
Germany113-5-19Out1003.016.409Germany
Israel124-4-6Out1004.0-0.4114.487Israel
Finland113-52Out1004.016.537Finland
Romania113-5-51Out1004.0+0.0516.266Romania
Netherlands102-6-102Out1004.020.123Netherlands
Switzerland102-6-131Out1004.019.098Switzerland
Belgium91-7-74Out1005.021.176Belgium
Bulgaria91-7-104Out1005.0-0.0521.127Bulgaria
Estonia80-8-185Out1005.023.082Estonia
Luxembourg80-8-271Out1005.023.076Luxembourg
Portugal80-8-186Out1005.023.078Portugal

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Saturday, 7/7
Greece 63 Latvia 49
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy-2.9
+0.3
Latvia-4.0
-0.4
Greece+9.5
+0.2
Finland-2.7
Germany 55 Spain 61
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SpainIn
+0.1
Germany-8.3
-0.1
Netherlands 73 Slovenia 64
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Slovak+5.0
Lithuania+0.1
Slovenia-5.1
Slovak 60 Lithuania 58
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Slovak+4.8
+0.5
Lithuania-0.1
-0.4
Slovenia-4.8
Switzerland 45 Serbia 88
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Serbia+2.7
+0.0
Poland-2.7
-0.0
Switzerland*Out
Poland 53 Montenegro 50
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montenegro-0.4
Serbia-1.1
Poland+1.5
Switzerland*Out
Israel 60 Belarus 58
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Belarus-0.3
Ukraine-1.1
Israel+1.3
+0.2
Luxembourg 66 Italy 88
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy+0.2
+0.0
Sweden 71 Bulgaria 54
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SwedenIn
+0.0
Wednesday, 7/11
Latvia 80 Finland 47
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Italy-0.9
Latvia+15.2
+0.3
Greece-14.2
-0.1
FinlandOut
-0.2
Serbia 67 Poland 62
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Montenegro-0.1
+0.1
Serbia+9.0
+0.1
Poland-8.9
-0.2
Italy 68 Greece 61
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
ItalyIn
+0.1
Latvia+3.7
+0.0
Greece-8.5
-0.1
Hungary 73 Israel 66
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ukraine+3.3
+0.0
Hungary+0.0
IsraelOut
-0.1
Montenegro 81 Estonia 61
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MontenegroIn
+0.0
Serbia-0.0
Poland-1.3
-0.0
Belarus 68 Ukraine 60
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
BelarusIn
+0.2
Ukraine-1.1
-0.2
Hungary-0.1
Israel+0.7
+0.1
Netherlands 51 Slovak 66
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SlovakIn
+0.1
Lithuania-0.1
SloveniaOut
Saturday, 7/14
Ukraine 73 Hungary 66
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
UkraineIn
+0.8
HungaryOut
-0.4
Israel-0.4
Estonia 58 Serbia 97
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
SerbiaIn
+0.0
PolandOut
-0.0
Romania 75 Bulgaria 68
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Romania+0.1
Bulgaria-0.1
Slovak 93 Slovenia 54
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Slovak+0.0
Lithuania-0.0
Israel 58 Portugal 47
100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Ukraine-0.0
Israel+0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Janis Kacens for adding this league.