How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toluca vs FASIn-38.9Out
+0.2-0.4-0.8
Olimpia vs Puerto Rico Isl+15.6-10.2-10.2
+0.2-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Toluca finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
101-0-0In10019,528,482
80-1-039.6%40607,377,032
70-0-1Out1001,703,181
Total:78.5%782228,608,695
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Lottery seed
Toluca vs FAS-1.0+1.7+3.5
Real Salt Lake vs Cruz Azul+0.0+0.4-0.3
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew-0.4-0.4+0.2
Olimpia vs Puerto Rico Isl-0.3+0.2+0.2
Sounders vs Saprissa-0.1-0.1+0.1
Santos Laguna vs Municipal-0.1+0.1+0.1
Marathón vs Monterrey+0.2-0.0-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
101-0-02051272
80-1-01624283020
70-0-147494
Total:133522871130