"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

Real Salt Lake Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, average seed unchanged at 1.7
10 points   3-1-1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Average seed
Real Salt Lake vs Cruz Azul+0.7-0.3-0.3

What If

Chances based on how well Real Salt Lake finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
131-0-0In1007,735,224
10-11In10020,873,471*
Total:In277328,608,695

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs