How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Santos Laguna vs MunicipalOutOutIn
-0.3-0.3+1.0
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew+0.2+0.2-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Municipal finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
111-0-0In35656,978,392
8-9Out10021,630,303*
Total:24.4%9167628,608,695

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Lottery seed
Santos Laguna vs Municipal+1.5+0.8-3.9
Toluca vs FAS+0.1-0.1-0.4
Marathón vs Monterrey+0.4-0.0-0.0
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew-0.3-0.3+0.1
Olimpia vs Puerto Rico Isl-0.2+0.1+0.2
Toronto FC vs Árabe Unido+0.1-0.1-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Cruz Azul-0.0+0.1-0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
111-0-0013225015
90-1-069310
80-0-12159191
Total:035124283791