Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.003 to 77.3%
9 points   3-0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Santos Laguna vs MunicipalInIn-38.5
-0.0+0.4-0.2
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew-14.4-11.9In
-0.4-0.4+0.6

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
121-0-0In633710,072,445
100-1-065.4%65357,001,861
90-0-162.9633710,073,202
Total:77.3%23542327,147,508
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Lottery seed
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew+1.6+1.1-2.4
Santos Laguna vs Municipal-0.1-0.8+0.6
Sounders vs Saprissa-0.1-0.1+0.3
Toluca vs FAS+0.2-0.1-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Cruz Azul+0.1-0.1-0.0
Olimpia vs Puerto Rico Isl+0.0-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
121-0-010351737
100-1-062725735
90-0-11134172980
Total:413615111982030