Columbus Crew Playoff Chances 2010

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.01 to 91.7%
9 points   3-0-2

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Santos Laguna vs MunicipalInIn-25.8
-0.2+0.4+0.1
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew-16.1-15.1In
-0.5-0.5+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well the Columbus Crew finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
121-0-0In505018,567,291
100-1-076.6%77237,374,183
90-0-175.676242,667,221
Total:91.7%3359828,608,695
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/19100.0*Lottery seed
Joe Public vs Columbus Crew+2.6+2.2-1.2
Santos Laguna vs Municipal+0.4-0.8-0.1
Real Salt Lake vs Cruz Azul+0.1-0.2+0.0
Olimpia vs Puerto Rico Isl+0.2-0.1-0.1
Sounders vs Saprissa-0.2-0.2+0.1
Toluca vs FAS+0.1-0.2-0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L12345678910111213141516
121-0-08281550
100-1-0317352223
90-0-1535361680
Total:51810335129810