"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 11/12100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Coritiba 2 Figueirense 1 +16.5
+0.2
Bahia 3 Portuguesa 0 -6.1
-0.1
Sao Caetano 0 America-MG 0 *+0.1
Week of 11/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Bahia 1 Santo Andre 2 Yes
+0.0
Icasa 2 Coritiba 2 -0.8
Week of 11/26None

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship