"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 5/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Fenerbahçe 6 Ankaragücü 0 -24.3
-0.2
Trabzonspor 3 Istanbul 1 +23.9
+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Sivasspor vs Fenerbahçe+30.0+4.2-32.9
+0.3+0.0-0.3
Karabükspor vs Trabzonspor-32.9+4.2+30.0
-0.3+0.0+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well Trabzonspor finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title123456789101112131415161718RelegatedCount
821-0-062.9%6337No6,294,474
800-1-037.13763No4,375,157
790-0-10.00100No6,294,304
Total:32.9%3367No16,963,935
Points
Chance Will Win Championship