"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cardiff 2 QPR 2 +0.9
+0.1
Norwich 3 Derby 2 -0.4
Preston 0 Cardiff 1 -0.1
Week of 4/30100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Watford 0 QPR 2 Yes
Yes
Week of 5/7100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Scunthorpe 1 Portsmouth 1 -41.4
-34.5
Crystal Palace 0 Nottm Forest 3 -43.5
+0.8
QPR 1 Leeds 2 -12.2
-25.0
+20.5
-7.5
Middlesbrough 3 Doncaster 0 -18.5
+9.6
-4.8
Burnley 1 Cardiff 1 -1.9
-4.2
+3.7
Barnsley 1 Millwall 0 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship