Football League Championship Title Chances 2010-2011

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Promoted			Chance will finish season at seed																										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI	Strength

QPR	88		24	-	16	-	6	39	Yes		+0.0	Yes			100																								1.0		No			1	.723	Queens Park Rangers
Norwich	84		23	-	15	-	8	25	No		-0.0	Yes				100																							2.0		No			2	.606	Norwich City

Swansea City	80		24	-	8	-	14	27	No			25.0	%				100																						3.0	+0.40	No			6	.646	Swansea City
Cardiff	80		23	-	11	-	12	22	No			25.0						100																					4.0	+0.21	No			3	.601	Cardiff City FC
Reading	77		20	-	17	-	9	26	No			25.0		+0.9					100																				5.0	+0.42	No			5	.622	Reading
Nottm Forest	75		20	-	15	-	11	19	No			25.0		+0.0						100																			6.0	-1.00	No			4	.595	Nottingham Forest

Leeds	72		19	-	15	-	12	11	No			No		-0.9							100																		7.0	-0.04	No			7	.541	Leeds United
Millwall	70		19	-	13	-	14	16	No			No										100																	8.0	+0.56	No			8	.587	Millwall
Burnley	68		18	-	14	-	14	4	No			No											100																9.0	+0.02	No			9	.516	Burnley
Leicester	67		19	-	10	-	17	5	No			No												100															10.0	-0.52	No			10	.517	Leicester City FC
Hull	65		16	-	17	-	13	1	No			No													100														11.0	+0.29	No			11	.502	Hull City
Middlesbrough	62		17	-	11	-	18	0	No			No														100													12.0	+0.97	No			12	.496	Middlesbrough
Ipswich	62		18	-	8	-	20	-6	No			No															100												13.0	+1.05	No			15	.466	Ipswich Town FC
Watford	61		16	-	13	-	17	6	No			No																100											14.0	-1.61	No			13	.521	Watford
Bristol City	60		17	-	9	-	20	-2	No			No																	100										15.0	-0.70	No			16	.486	Bristol City
Portsmouth	58		15	-	13	-	18	-8	No			No																		100									16.0	+0.64	No			14	.451	Portsmouth
Barnsley	56		14	-	14	-	18	-11	No			No																			100								17.0	-0.59	No			17	.438	Barnsley
Coventry	55		14	-	13	-	19	-4	No			No																				100							18.0	-0.09	No			18	.473	Coventry City FC
Derby	49		13	-	10	-	23	-13	No			No																					100						19.0	+0.08	No			20	.432	Derby County FC
Crystal Palace	48		12	-	12	-	22	-25	No			No																						100					20.0	+1.04	No		-8.7	22	.358	Crystal Palace
Doncaster	48		11	-	15	-	20	-26	No			No																							100				21.0	-1.05	No			19	.376	Doncaster Rovers

Preston	42		10	-	12	-	24	-25	No			No																								100			22.0	-0.09	Yes		+8.7	23	.378	Preston North End
Scunthorpe	42		12	-	6	-	28	-44	No			No																									100		23.0	+0.69	Yes			21	.290	Scunthorpe United
Sheff United	39		10	-	9	-	27	-37	No			No																										100	24.0	-0.69	Yes			24	.311	Sheffield United FC

Week of 4/22
Cardiff 2 QPR 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
QPR	+0.9		+0.1
Norwich			+2.5
Cardiff	-0.9		-3.0

Norwich 3 Derby 2
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich	+0.4		+11.6				+0.3
Cardiff			-8.1
Reading			-3.3

Preston 0 Cardiff 1
10:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich			-9.6				-0.2
Cardiff	+0.1		+12.0				+0.3
Reading			-2.2
Crystal Palace					-3.4
Preston					+4.3		-0.2

QPR 1 Hull 1
9:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich	+0.1

Leeds 0 Reading 0
3:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich			+2.2
Cardiff			+1.1
Reading	No		-3.3
Leeds			-1.5				-0.2

Bristol City 2 Nottm Forest 3
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nottm Forest			+5.7				+0.8
Bristol City							-0.8

Reading 2 Sheff United 3
1:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Reading			-5.8				-0.6
Sheff United					-0.1		+0.2

Scunthorpe 1 Millwall 2
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Millwall			+4.6				+0.5
Derby					No
Crystal Palace					-5.0
Scunthorpe					+6.4		-0.2

Millwall 4 Preston 0
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Millwall			+3.2				+0.5
Crystal Palace					-4.0
Doncaster					-1.0
Preston					+5.5		-0.2

Nottm Forest 3 Leicester 2
8:00 AM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nottm Forest			+3.0				+0.7
Leicester			No				-0.6

Crystal Palace 1 Leeds 0
10:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Leeds			-2.5				-0.7
Crystal Palace					-11.9		+0.4
Preston					+4.5
Scunthorpe					+6.6
Sheff United					Yes

Derby 2 Burnley 4
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley			+1.9				+0.9
Derby							-0.6

Burnley 1 Portsmouth 1
2:45 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Burnley			-1.6				-0.3

Hull 2 Middlesbrough 4
8:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull			-1.6				-1.0
Middlesbrough							+1.0

Swansea City 4 Ipswich 1
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ipswich							-0.4

Leicester 4 Watford 2
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Leicester							+0.8
Watford			No				-0.8

Watford 1 Barnsley 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Watford							+0.6
Barnsley							-0.5

Barnsley 2 Doncaster 2
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Barnsley							-0.4

Coventry 1 Scunthorpe 1
10:00 AM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry							-0.5
Crystal Palace					*-0.1
Scunthorpe					+0.4

Sheff United 3 Bristol City 2
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol City							-0.8

Middlesbrough 2 Coventry 1
11:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Middlesbrough							+0.9
Coventry							-0.8

Week of 4/30
Watford 0 QPR 2
2:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
QPR	Yes		Yes
Norwich	No
Cardiff	No
Watford							-0.6

Hull 1 Crystal Palace 1
2:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull							-0.4
Crystal Palace					No
Scunthorpe					Yes

Cardiff 0 Middlesbrough 3
10:00 AM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich			+19.0				+0.3
Cardiff			-20.2				-0.5
Middlesbrough							+1.1

Portsmouth 0 Norwich 1
2:45 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich			+18.1				+0.3
Cardiff			-17.6				-0.2
Portsmouth							-0.7

Millwall 0 Swansea City 2
2:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nottm Forest			+4.8				+0.2
Leeds			+0.2
Millwall			-6.0				-0.5

Nottm Forest 5 Scunthorpe 1
7:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nottm Forest			+3.8				+0.3
Millwall			-3.2
Crystal Palace					No
Scunthorpe					Yes

Leeds 1 Burnley 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Leeds			+0.2				+0.7
Burnley			No				-0.7

Coventry 0 Reading 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Coventry							-0.2

Derby 0 Bristol City 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bristol City							+1.0

Ipswich 2 Preston 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Ipswich							+0.5

Sheff United 2 Barnsley 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Barnsley							-0.2

Week of 5/7
Crystal Palace 0 Nottm Forest 3
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nottm Forest	+5.8		+12.8		-0.7		+2.5
Crystal Palace					+6.5		-0.7

Scunthorpe 1 Portsmouth 1
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Portsmouth	*No		-2.0		+5.0		-3.1
Scunthorpe	*No		No		+19.4		-1.4

QPR 1 Leeds 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
QPR	-12.2		-25.0		+20.5		-7.5
Leeds			-1.6				-0.2

Middlesbrough 3 Doncaster 0
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Middlesbrough	+6.7		+13.5		-6.4		+3.5
Doncaster			-1.6		+2.4		-0.8

Burnley 1 Cardiff 1
1:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Cardiff	+1.8		+4.3		-3.6		+1.4

Norwich 2 Coventry 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Norwich	-3.1		-4.0				-0.3
Coventry					*-0.3

Barnsley 1 Millwall 0
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Millwall	-2.0		-6.1				-0.7

Leicester 4 Ipswich 2
10:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Leicester	+0.8		+2.9				+0.7
Ipswich			-1.4				-0.6

Swansea City 4 Sheff United 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Swansea City			+1.7		-1.4		+0.8
Sheff United			-1.0		+1.7		-0.7

Reading 2 Derby 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Reading			+2.8				+0.5

Bristol City 3 Hull 0
1:20 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hull			-2.8				-0.6
Bristol City							+0.8

Preston 3 Watford 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Watford							-0.8
Crystal Palace					+8.5
Doncaster					+3.2
Preston					-14.8		+0.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Football League Championship Title Chances 2010-2011

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