"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/23100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth 2 Bristol Rovers 1 No
Carlisle 0 Leyton Orient 1 No
-0.9
Rochdale 2 Carlisle 3 +1.3
Tranmere 4 Exeter City 0 +0.0
Yeovil 2 Bournemouth 2 +0.0
Bristol Rovers 2 Charlton 2 +0.1
Sheff Wed 3 Swindon 1 -0.1
Notts County 1 Brentford 1 +0.0
Colchester 1 Brighton 1 +0.0
Walsall 1 Sheff Wed 1 +0.0
Week of 4/30100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Dag & Red 3 Carlisle 0 -1.0
Brentford 0 Southampton 3 +0.2
Walsall 2 Charlton 0 +0.2
Yeovil 4 Colchester 2 +0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Tranmere 3 -0.1
Bristol Rovers 1 Sheff Wed 1 +0.1
Exeter City 1 Plymouth 0 -0.0
Rochdale 2 Peterborough 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 5/7100.0*Promoted100.0*Average seed
Carlisle vs Yeovil+1.4-0.4-2.8
Huddersfield vs Brentford+0.2-0.1-0.6
Charlton vs Hartlepool-0.2+0.1+0.4
Colchester vs Bristol Rovers-0.2+0.1+0.3
Sheff Wed vs Exeter City-0.2+0.1+0.3

What If

Chances based on how well Carlisle finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
621-0-0NoNo8614No5,136,475
600-1-0NoNo62538256No2,598,507
590-0-1NoNo041330493No2,265,018
Total:NoNo46141198111No10,000,000
Points
Chance Will Win Championship