Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

Detroit Red Wings Playoff Chances 2009

Lost to Colorado 1-3, playoff odds down 0.006 to 0.001%

63 points 26 31-11

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Average seed
Colorado 3 Detroit 1	-0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
New Jersey vs Philadelphia	-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs Buffalo	+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

91		14	0		-	0	11.8	%	No				0		1		11	38	39	11	1	0				106,512
90		13	0		-	1	2.8		No						0		3	20	44	29	4	0				26,907
89		13	1		-	0	0.8		No						0		1	9	35	43	11	1	0			145,459	*
88		12	1		-	1	0.1		No						0		0	3	21	48	24	4	0			474,285	*
87		11	1		-	2	0.0		No						0		0	1	10	42	37	10	1	0		1,495,824	*
86		11	2		-	1	0.0		No						0		0	0	3	28	44	22	2	0	0	3,614,728	*
85		10	2		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	1	15	41	36	8	0	0	8,361,299	*
84		10	3		-	1	0.0		No								0	0	0	6	30	45	18	1	0	9,984,160
		9	2		-	3	Out		No									0	0	5	28	45	20	2	0	6,106,973	*
83		9	3		-	2	Out		No									0	0	2	16	44	33	5	0	17,184,406
		10	4		-	0	Out		No									0	0	2	16	44	33	5	0	12,231,707	*
82		9	4		-	1	Out		No										0	0	7	34	46	13	0	26,646,754
		8	3		-	3	Out		No										0	0	6	32	47	14	0	19,913,945	*
81		8	4		-	2	Out		No										0	0	2	20	51	26	1	40,805,227
		9	5		-	0	Out		No										0	0	2	22	51	24	1	16,524,713
		7	3		-	4	Out		No											0	2	18	50	28	1	12,717,944	*
80		8	5		-	1	Out		No											0	0	10	45	41	4	50,638,551
		7	4		-	3	Out		No											0	0	8	44	43	4	42,378,503	*
79		7	5		-	2	Out		No											0	0	3	32	55	10	68,156,907
		8	6		-	0	Out		No											0	0	4	34	53	9	26,171,387
		6	4		-	4	Out		No											0	0	3	31	56	11	23,169,754	*
78		7	6		-	1	Out		No											0	0	1	20	61	18	70,453,857
		6	5		-	3	Out		No											0	0	1	19	61	20	52,876,196
		5	4		-	5	Out		No											0	0	1	17	61	21	8,822,735	*
77		6	6		-	2	Out		No												0	0	10	59	31	81,985,554
		7	7		-	0	Out		No												0	0	11	59	29	31,225,497
		5	5		-	4	Out		No												0	0	9	58	33	28,370,242	*
76		6	7		-	1	Out		No												0	0	4	51	45	72,649,474
		5	6		-	3	Out		No												0	0	4	50	47	53,835,439
		4	5		-	5	Out		No												0	0	3	48	49	8,854,079	*
75		5	7		-	2	Out		No												0	0	2	39	59	71,548,048
		6	8		-	0	Out		No													0	2	41	57	28,164,900
		4	6		-	4	Out		No													0	1	37	62	23,639,774	*
74		5	8		-	1	Out		No													0	0	28	71	55,476,424
		4	7		-	3	Out		No													0	0	26	73	44,428,419	*
73		4	8		-	2	Out		No													0	0	18	82	44,920,939
		5	9		-	0	Out		No													0	0	19	81	19,122,401
		3	7		-	4	Out		No													0	0	16	84	13,228,524	*
72		4	9		-	1	Out		No														0	11	89	30,962,500
		3	8		-	3	Out		No														0	10	90	21,527,488	*
71		3	9		-	2	Out		No														0	6	94	19,765,123
		4	10		-	0	Out		No														0	6	94	14,343,167	*
70		3	10		-	1	Out		No														0	3	97	12,268,588
		2	9		-	3	Out		No														0	2	98	6,781,176	*
69		2	10		-	2	Out		No														0	1	99	10,227,627	*
68		2	11		-	1	Out		No															0	100	4,508,411	*
67		1	11		-	2	Out		No															0	100	1,941,321	*
66		1	12		-	1	Out		No															0	100	623,371	*
65		1	13		-	0	Out		No															0	100	203,410	*
63	-64						Out		No																100	146,631	*

Total:							0.0	%	No				0		0		0	0	0	0	2	6	16	38	39	1,219,757,260

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Colorado 3 Detroit 1	+0.7

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Detroit	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.5-0.5-0.5
New Jersey vs Philadelphia	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1
NY Islanders vs Winnipeg	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Los Angeles vs Buffalo	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vancouver vs Dallas	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

91	14	0		-	0								0			0	1			3	8	33	39	14	2	0
90	13	0		-	1												0			0	2	16	39	32	9	1	0
89	13	1		-	0											0	0			0	1	6	26	40	22	5	0	0
88	12	1		-	1												0			0	0	1	12	35	36	13	2	0	0
87	11	1		-	2												0			0	0	0	4	22	40	27	7	0	0
86	11	2		-	1												0				0	0	1	10	32	38	17	2	0	0
85	10	2		-	2																0	0	0	3	18	39	32	8	1	0	0
84	10	3		-	1																0	0	0	1	7	28	41	20	3	0	0	0
83	9	3		-	2																		0	0	2	14	37	35	11	1	0	0
	10	4		-	0																		0	0	2	14	38	34	11	1	0	0
82	9	4		-	1																		0	0	0	5	24	41	24	6	0	0	0
	8	3		-	3																		0	0	0	4	23	41	25	6	1	0	0
81	8	4		-	2																		0	0	0	1	10	33	36	16	3	0	0	0
	9	5		-	0																			0	0	1	11	34	36	15	3	0	0
	7	3		-	4																			0	0	1	9	32	37	17	3	0	0
80	8	5		-	1																			0	0	0	3	19	37	30	9	1	0	0
	7	4		-	3																			0	0	0	3	18	37	31	10	1	0	0
79	7	5		-	2																				0	0	1	7	26	38	22	5	0	0
	8	6		-	0																				0	0	1	8	27	38	21	5	0	0
	6	4		-	4																				0	0	0	7	25	39	23	5	0	0
78	7	6		-	1																					0	0	2	13	34	35	14	2	0
	6	5		-	3																				0	0	0	2	12	34	35	15	2	0
	5	4		-	5																				0	0	0	2	12	33	36	15	2	0
77	6	6		-	2																					0	0	0	4	21	39	28	7	0
	7	7		-	0																					0	0	0	5	22	39	27	6	0
	5	5		-	4																						0	0	4	20	39	29	7	0
76	6	7		-	1																						0	0	1	9	32	40	17	1
	5	6		-	3																						0	0	1	9	31	40	18	1
	4	5		-	5																						0	0	1	8	30	40	19	2
75	5	7		-	2																						0	0	0	3	18	42	33	5
	6	8		-	0																						0	0	0	3	19	42	31	4
	4	6		-	4																						0	0	0	3	17	41	34	5
74	5	8		-	1																							0	0	1	8	34	46	11
	4	7		-	3																							0	0	1	7	32	47	13
73	4	8		-	2																							0	0	0	2	20	53	24
	5	9		-	0																								0	0	3	21	53	23
	3	7		-	4																							0	0	0	2	19	53	26
72	4	9		-	1																								0	0	1	10	50	39
	3	8		-	3																								0	0	0	9	49	42
71	3	9		-	2																								0	0	0	4	39	57
	4	10		-	0																									0	0	4	40	56
70	3	10		-	1																									0	0	1	27	71
	2	9		-	3																									0	0	1	25	74
69	2	10		-	2																										0	0	16	83	0
68	2	11		-	1																										0	0	8	92	0
67	1	11		-	2																											0	4	96	0
66	1	12		-	1																											0	2	98	0
65	1	13		-	0																												1	99	0
64	0	13		-	1																												0	100	0
63	0	14		-	0																												0	100	0

Total:													0			0	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	7	11	15	18	19	17	9	0