Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titleLibetadoresChance will finish season at seedSerie B
PGW-L-EGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Flamengo6719-9-1014Yes+48.7Yes1001.0+0.78No2.574Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Internacional6519-11-821No-28.1Yes+0.81002.0+0.39No4.559Sport Club Internacional
Sao Paulo6518-9-1115No-8.2Yes+7.41003.0+0.08No1.559Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Cruzeiro6218-12-85NoYes+82.61004.0+0.80No6.535Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Palmeiras6217-10-1113No-12.4No-90.81005.0-2.05No3.535Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Avai5715-11-129NoNo1006.0+0.71No5.496Avai Futebol Clube
Atletico-MG5616-14-8-1NoNo1007.0+0.71No9.488Clube Atletico Mineiro
Gremio5515-13-1021NoNo1008.0-0.34No8.480Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Goias5515-13-10-1NoNo1009.0-1.08No7.480Goias Esporte Clube
Corinthians5214-14-10-4NoNo10010.0No13.456Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Barueri4912-13-137NoNo10011.0+1.30No10.432Gremio Recreativo Barueri
Santos4912-13-130NoNo10012.0-0.16No11.432Santos Futebol Clube
Vitoria4813-16-9-6NoNo10013.0+0.13No14.424Esporte Clube Vitoria
Atletico-PR4813-16-9-7NoNo10014.0-0.82No12.424Clube Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo4711-13-14-6NoNo10015.0+1.68No-63.916.417Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Fluminense4611-14-13-7NoNo10016.0-0.78No-9.115.409Fluminense Football Club
Coritiba4512-17-9-12NoNo10017.0-1.14Yes+69.017.401Coritiba Football Club
Santo Andre4111-19-8-15NoNo10018.0-0.20Yes+4.118.369Esporte Clube Santo Andre
Nautico3810-20-8-23NoNo10019.0Yes19.346Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Sport Recife317-21-10-23NoNo10020.0Yes20.290Sport Club do Recife

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/21
Botafogo 3 Sao Paulo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+15.0
+0.2
Sao Paulo-21.2
-0.6
-0.4
Botafogo-26.7
+0.9
Fluminense+15.5
-0.2
Flamengo 0 Goias 0
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-9.6
-0.4
-0.2
Sao Paulo+8.2
Goias-0.1
Atletico-MG 0 Internacional 1
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+2.3
+28.3
+1.0
Atletico-MG-0.9
-23.5
-0.9
GremioNo
Atletico-PR 1 Cruzeiro 1
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+4.6
Cruzeiro-0.3
-11.6
-0.4
Palmeiras+2.5
Atletico-MG+2.8
Barueri*No
Atletico-PR-1.3
-0.2
Santo Andre 4 Avai 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
AvaiNo
-7.3
-0.9
Corinthians 2 Nautico 3
7:30 PM Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CorinthiansNo
-0.9
Sport Recife 0 Fluminense 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+13.8
-0.2
Fluminense-23.4
+0.7
Santos 4 Coritiba 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SantosNo
+1.2
Coritiba+2.7
-1.1
Vitoria 2 Barueri 1
7:30 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Barueri-1.0
Vitoria-1.6
+1.3
Week of 11/29
Goias 4 Sao Paulo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+13.2
+0.2
Internacional+12.8
+0.2
Sao Paulo-31.7
-1.4
-0.6
Cruzeiro+0.1
Palmeiras+5.5
+0.2
Atletico-MG+0.1
Goias+1.1
Corinthians 0 Flamengo 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+20.0
Yes
+0.7
Internacional-4.6
-0.2
Sao Paulo-13.1
-0.2
CruzeiroNo
-1.5
Atletico-MGNo
Corinthians-0.7
Sport Recife 1 Internacional 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+9.6
+7.0
+0.6
Sao Paulo-4.4
Cruzeiro-2.6
Palmeiras 3 Atletico-MG 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro-4.8
Palmeiras+7.7
+25.9
+1.0
Atletico-MGNo
-22.0
-0.7
Cruzeiro 4 Coritiba 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-4.4
Cruzeiro+18.2
+0.7
Palmeiras-6.7
-0.2
VitoriaNo
Botafogo-5.5
+0.2
Fluminense-5.8
+0.2
Coritiba+15.4
-0.8
Fluminense 4 Vitoria 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+0.1
-1.3
Atletico-PR+9.0
Botafogo+16.8
-0.2
Fluminense-32.9
+0.9
Coritiba+4.9
Atletico-PR 2 Botafogo 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
VitoriaNo
Atletico-PRNo
+1.2
Botafogo+21.4
-1.0
Fluminense-4.9
Santo Andre-0.8
Nautico-1.0
Santo Andre 5 Nautico 3
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santo Andre-2.5
+0.6
NauticoYes
-0.5
Gremio 4 Barueri 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Barueri-1.0
Avai 2 Santos 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-0.3
Week of 12/5
Flamengo 2 Gremio 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
FlamengoYes
+0.8
InternacionalNo
-0.3
Sao PauloNo
-0.2
PalmeirasNo
-0.3
Gremio-0.7
Internacional 4 Santo Andre 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-10.1
-0.3
Internacional+30.7
Yes
+1.0
Sao PauloNo
-0.3
PalmeirasNo
-0.3
Coritiba-4.1
Santo AndreYes
-0.2
Botafogo 2 Palmeiras 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo+8.7
+0.3
InternacionalYes
+0.3
Sao Paulo+3.7
+1.3
+0.4
Cruzeiro+24.3
+0.3
PalmeirasNo
-26.5
-1.3
BotafogoNo
+1.0
Fluminense+26.3
-0.5
Coritiba+33.6
-0.4
Santo AndreYes
Sao Paulo 4 Sport Recife 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-5.6
-0.2
Internacional-0.2
-0.2
Sao Paulo+7.2
Yes
+0.7
Cruzeiro-5.6
Palmeiras-1.6
-1.6
-0.2
Santos 1 Cruzeiro 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional-1.1
Sao Paulo-10.3
Cruzeiro+24.3
+0.3
Palmeiras-12.8
-0.2
Coritiba 1 Fluminense 1
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Botafogo+10.2
FluminenseNo
Coritiba-5.2
-0.4
Santo AndreYes
Vitoria 2 Goias 2
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias-1.1
Barueri 0 Atletico-PR 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Libetadores100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Barueri+0.4
Atletico-PR-0.4

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.