| Week of 4/14 |
| None |
|
| Week of 4/21 |
| Nacional-PAR 4 River Plate 2 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Universidad San Martin | In | | +0.2 | |
| River Plate | Out | | -0.6 | |
| Nacional-PAR | | | +0.3 | |
|
| Universidad San Martin 1 Nacional 1 |
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nacional | In | | +0.1 | |
| Universidad San Martin | +4.0 | | -0.0 | |
| River Plate | -3.5 | | -0.1 | |
| Nacional-PAR | Out | | | |
|
| Palmeiras 2 LDU de Quito 0 |
| Tue | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Universidad San Martin | *+0.1 | | | |
|
| Week of 4/28 |
| Nacional 3 Nacional-PAR 1 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nacional | | | +0.1 | |
| Universidad San Martin | | | -0.1 | |
| River Plate | | | +0.3 | |
| Nacional-PAR | | | -0.3 | |
|
| River Plate 3 Universidad San Martin 0 |
| Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nacional | | | +0.1 | |
| Universidad San Martin | | | -0.1 | |
| River Plate | | | +0.3 | |
| Nacional-PAR | | | -0.3 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.