SDAHA Varsity Title Chances 2009-2010

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

Thunder	20	3	10	2		-	0	34	53.0	%	2.2	53	21	19	5	2	0			1.8	0.07	4	.833	Thunder
Capitals	22		11	4		-	0	20	29.7		-4.2	30	50	19	1	0				1.9	-0.08	1	.733	Capitals
Rangers	20	1	10	4		-	0	24	17.0		4.7	17	27	49	5	1	0			2.5	0.42	2	.714	Rangers
Lakers	16	2	8	5		-	0	22	0.2		-2.8	0	1	8	58	32	1	0		4.2	-0.70	3	.615	Lakers
Stars	16	2	8	5		-	0	16	0.1		0.1	0	1	4	30	61	4	0		4.6	0.27	5	.615	Stars
Marlins	12		6	9		-	0	-11	No					0	0	5	94	0		5.9	0.04	6	.400	Marlins
Flyers	4	2	2	11		-	0	-39	No						0	0	0	99	1	7.0	-0.03	8	.154	Flyers
Cougars	0		0	15		-	0	-66	No									1	99	8.0	0.01	7	.000	Cougars

Week of 2/5
Rangers 3 Stars 5

7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	5.3		0.1
Capitals	7.7		0.2
Rangers	-15.2		-0.4
Lakers	1.9		0.1
Stars	0.3		0.2
Marlins			-0.1

Capitals 6 Marlins 1

7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	-2.9		-0.1
Capitals	5.8		0.2
Rangers	-1.8		-0.1
Lakers	-1.0		0.0
Stars			0.0
Marlins			-0.1

Capitals 7 Marlins 4

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	-2.9		-0.1
Capitals	5.6		0.2
Rangers	-1.7		-0.1
Lakers	-0.9		0.0
Stars	-0.1		0.0
Marlins			-0.1

Rangers 10 Flyers 0

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	-1.0		0.0
Capitals	-1.1		0.0
Rangers	2.4		0.1
Lakers	-0.3		0.0
Stars	-0.1		0.0
Flyers			0.0

Stars 4 Lakers 6

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	-0.7
Capitals	-0.5		0.0
Rangers	-0.6		0.0
Lakers	2.3		0.3
Stars	-0.5		-0.2

Marlins 4 Flyers 3

7:00 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Stars			-0.1
Marlins			0.0
Flyers			0.0

Thunder 5 Cougars 2

7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	1.1		0.0
Capitals	-0.5		0.0
Rangers	-0.5		0.0
Lakers	-0.1		0.0
Stars			0.0

Thunder 8 Cougars 0

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	1.1		0.0
Capitals	-0.7		0.0
Rangers	-0.3		0.0
Lakers	-0.1		0.0
Stars	*0.0		*0.0

Thunder 7 Cougars 2

7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	0.9		0.0
Capitals	-0.6		0.0
Rangers	-0.2		0.0
Lakers	-0.1		0.0

Stars 5 Flyers 0

7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Stars			0.0
Marlins			0.0

Week of 2/12
Flyers vs Capitals If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	65.359.151.551.4		1.61.71.81.8
Capitals	6.219.532.632.7		2.52.11.81.8
Rangers	27.720.915.715.7		2.12.32.52.5

Flyers vs Capitals HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	65.259.151.451.5		1.61.71.81.8
Capitals	6.319.532.732.6		2.52.11.81.8
Rangers	27.720.915.715.7		2.12.32.52.5

Stars vs Thunder HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	34.646.460.660.6		2.21.91.71.6
Capitals	42.934.624.224.2		1.71.92.02.0
Rangers	21.918.515.015.0		2.32.42.52.5
Lakers	0.20.20.10.1		4.34.44.34.2
Stars	0.40.30.00.0		4.44.44.64.8

Stars vs Thunder HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	34.746.260.660.7		2.21.91.71.6
Capitals	42.834.824.224.2		1.71.92.02.0
Rangers	22.018.515.015.0		2.32.42.52.5
Lakers	0.20.20.10.1		4.34.44.34.2
Stars	0.40.30.00.0		4.44.44.64.8

Stars vs Thunder HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	34.646.260.660.7		2.21.91.71.6
Capitals	42.834.824.224.2		1.71.92.02.0
Rangers	21.918.515.015.0		2.32.42.52.5
Lakers	0.20.20.10.1		4.34.44.34.2
Stars	0.40.30.00.0		4.44.44.64.8

Rangers vs Flyers HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	52.452.455.457.1		1.81.81.81.7
Capitals	28.728.832.636.7		1.91.91.81.7
Rangers	18.618.611.65.7		2.42.42.62.9
Lakers	0.10.10.20.2
Stars	0.10.10.20.2

Flyers vs Lakers HomeHome OTAway OTAway

7:00 PM Mon	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Thunder	53.253.052.9*53.0
Lakers	0.00.00.20.2		4.54.44.24.2
Stars			4.54.64.74.7

* A starred outcome is not statistically different from zero (< 3σ), so it might actually have no effect.

SDAHA Varsity Title Chances 2009-2010

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