"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 3/27100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Hearts 1 Rangers 4 -0.7
St. Johnstone 4 Rangers 1 +0.5
Celtic 3 Kilmarnock 1 +0.4
+0.1
Week of 4/3100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Rangers 1 Hamilton 0 -0.9
Rangers 3 Aberdeen 1 -0.6
Hibernian 0 Celtic 1 +0.4
+0.1
St. Johnstone 0 Dundee Utd 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Average seed
Celtic vs Motherwell+0.2-0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Dundee Utd vs Rangers+0.2-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Celtic finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins title123456789101112RelegatedCount
816-0-023.2%2377No52,179
795-1-06.0694No217,201
785-0-12.6397No312,602
774-2-00.50100No377,821
764-1-1No1000No1,088,311
754-0-2No1000No783,181
3-3-0No100No351,676
743-2-1No1000No1,512,380
733-1-2No991No2,174,930
2-4-0No1000No182,593
722-3-1No982No1,051,212
3-0-3No964No1,044,197
712-2-2No955No2,269,927
1-5-0No973No51,013
702-1-3No8713No2,174,512
1-4-1No928No365,407
691-3-2No8416No1,053,838
2-0-4No7723No781,432
0-6-0No9010No5,989
681-2-3No7129No1,514,808
0-5-1No7723No50,992
671-1-4No5446No1,089,139
0-4-2No6238No182,685
660-3-3No47530No351,150
1-0-5No38620No312,842
650-2-4No29700No378,862
640-1-5No14833No217,164
630-0-6No584110No51,957
Total:0.2%0861400No20,000,000
Points
Chance Will Win Championship