Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change1234567891011121314151617181920Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Sao Paulo7521-12-530Yes+12.0Yes1001.0+0.12No1.638Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Gremio7221-9-824No-12.0Yes1002.0-0.12No2.614Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Cruzeiro6721-4-1315NoYes+26.31003.0+0.94No3.575Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Palmeiras6519-8-1110NoYes+17.31004.0-0.37No5.559Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Flamengo6418-10-1019NoNo-43.51005.0-0.57No4.551Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Internacional5415-9-141NoNo1006.0+0.36No8.472Sport Club Internacional
Botafogo5315-8-157NoNo1007.0+2.47No10.464Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Goias5314-11-1310NoNo1008.0-0.54No11.464Goias Esporte Clube
Coritiba5314-11-137NoNo1009.0-1.60No6.464Coritiba Football Club
Vitoria5215-7-164NoNo10010.0+0.09No9.456Esporte Clube Vitoria
Sport Recife5214-10-143NoNo10011.0-0.37No7.456Sport Club do Recife
Atletico-MG4812-12-14-11NoNo10012.0-0.41No12.425Clube Atletico Mineiro
Atletico-PR4512-9-17-9NoNo10013.0+2.94No-35.514.401Clube Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense4511-12-151NoNo10014.0-0.35No-0.013.401Fluminense Football Club
Santos4511-12-15-9NoNo10015.0-0.80No-0.215.401Santos Futebol Clube
Nautico4411-11-16-10NoNo10016.0-1.12No-9.817.393Clube Nautico Capibaribe
Figueirense4411-11-16-24NoNo10017.0+0.11Yes+24.316.393Figueirense Futebol Clube
Vasco da Gama4011-7-20-16NoNo10018.0-0.60Yes+21.118.362Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Portuguesa389-11-18-22NoNo10019.0-0.18Yes19.346Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos
Ipatinga359-8-21-30NoNo10020.0Yes20.322Ipatinga Futebol Clube

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/23
Vitoria 4 Gremio 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+16.4
+0.2
Gremio-18.5
-1.5
-0.5
Vitoria+1.0
Vasco da Gama 1 Sao Paulo 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+14.3
Yes
+0.2
Gremio-12.0
CruzeiroNo
PalmeirasNo
Sport RecifeNo
Atletico-PR-2.0
Fluminense-2.6
Nautico-4.2
Vasco da Gama+12.3
-0.5
Cruzeiro 3 Flamengo 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.5
+27.5
+0.7
Palmeiras-6.1
Flamengo-2.4
-21.0
-0.7
Palmeiras 2 Ipatinga 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro-10.4
Palmeiras+0.3
+17.1
+0.4
Flamengo-6.4
-0.2
Ipatinga+2.8
-0.3
Internacional 0 Fluminense 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Internacional-0.7
Fluminense-15.7
+1.2
Vasco da Gama+4.0
Sport Recife 3 Atletico-MG 0
7:10 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife*No
+1.1
Atletico-MG-0.9
Week of 11/30
Ipatinga 1 Gremio 4
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-3.9
Gremio+3.9
+4.9
+0.4
Flamengo-2.9
IpatingaYes
-0.2
Sao Paulo 1 Fluminense 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-1.8
Gremio+1.8
Fluminense-0.4
Internacional 1 Cruzeiro 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro-17.3
-0.6
Palmeiras+5.9
+0.3
Flamengo+9.4
+0.2
Internacional+1.2
Flamengo 3 Goias 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gremio+0.9
Cruzeiro+5.0
Palmeiras+9.5
+0.2
Flamengo-15.4
-0.3
Vitoria 0 Palmeiras 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+1.9
Palmeiras-11.8
-0.4
Flamengo+8.4
+0.2
Vitoria-0.2
Botafogo 1 Figueirense 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Botafogo-1.1
Atletico-PR+5.1
Nautico+11.1
-0.2
Figueirense-24.4
+0.9
Vasco da Gama+3.9
-0.3
IpatingaYes
Nautico 2 Atletico-PR 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+8.2
-1.0
Nautico-23.6
+1.1
Figueirense+7.4
Vasco da Gama+5.5
IpatingaYes
Coritiba 0 Vasco da Gama 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-0.7
Atletico-PR+5.4
Nautico+11.5
-0.2
Vasco da Gama-23.4
+1.0
Portuguesa 2 Sport Recife 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-0.5
Nautico-1.6
Portuguesa+3.8
Atletico-MG 0 Santos 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG-0.2
Santos-1.6
-0.2
Week of 12/7
Gremio 2 Atletico-MG 0
5:00 PM Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo-13.1
Gremio+13.1
Atletico-MG-0.4
Goias 0 Sao Paulo 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Sao PauloYes
GremioNo
Goias-0.6
Atletico-PR 5 Flamengo 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CruzeiroYes
+0.3
PalmeirasYes
+0.3
FlamengoNo
-0.6
Atletico-PRNo
+1.8
Santos+0.5
-0.5
Nautico+8.7
-0.4
Figueirense+13.2
-0.2
Vasco da Gama+13.1
-0.2
Cruzeiro 4 Portuguesa 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
CruzeiroYes
+0.5
Palmeiras-9.6
-0.2
Flamengo-16.7
-0.3
Palmeiras 0 Botafogo 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+9.8
+0.4
Palmeiras-20.7
-0.6
Flamengo+10.9
+0.2
Botafogo+1.3
Figueirense 3 Internacional 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+35.9
-0.5
Santos+0.4
Nautico+12.4
-0.3
Figueirense-61.2
+1.3
Vasco da Gama+12.5
-0.3
Vasco da Gama 0 Vitoria 2
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vitoria+0.8
Atletico-PR-15.8
+0.2
Nautico-5.3
Vasco da GamaYes
-0.8
Santos 0 Nautico 0
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR+2.9
SantosNo
+0.3
Nautico-9.7
-0.3
Figueirense+2.6
Vasco da Gama+4.3
Fluminense 1 Ipatinga 1
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
FluminenseNo
-0.3
Sport Recife 4 Coritiba 3
Sun100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-0.8
Sport Recife+0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.