SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Sometimes I
forget the point

Celtic FC Title Chances 2008-2009

Plays at Caley Thistle 11:59 PM, title odds down 18.9 to 47.1%

73 points 22-7-3

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 4/11	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Rangers 3 Motherwell 1	-4.8		-0.0
Hearts 1 Celtic 1	-4.6		-0.0
Aberdeen 1 Caley Thistle 0	-0.1
St. Mirren 1 Hibernian 1	-0.1

Week of 4/18	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Average seed
Hibernian 2 Rangers 3	-13.6		-0.1
Celtic 2 Aberdeen 0	+5.7		+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Caley Thistle vs Celtic	-30.9-19.7+16.8		-0.3-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Celtic finishes out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance		Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	D	-	L	wins title		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Relegated		Count

81		1	-	5	-	0	Yes		100												No		149
80		1	-	4	-	1	99.9	%	100	0											No		2,678
79		1	-	3	-	2	99.3		99	1											No		15,320
		0	-	6	-	0	Yes		100												No		93
78		1	-	2	-	3	92.7		93	7											No		44,576
		0	-	5	-	1	98.2		98	2											No		1,366
77		1	-	1	-	4	67.6		68	32											No		64,668
		0	-	4	-	2	86.8		87	13											No		8,796
76		1	-	0	-	5	24.1		24	76											No		37,859
		0	-	3	-	3	54.5		54	46											No		28,345
75		0	-	2	-	4	17.0		17	83											No		49,277
74		0	-	1	-	5	2.7		3	97											No		43,287
73		0	-	0	-	6	No			100											No		14,092

Total:							47.1	%	47	53											No		310,506

Points

Chance Will Win Championship