Jupiler League Title Chances 2008-2009 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed																				Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI

Anderlecht	74	1	23	-	5	-	5	43	50.0	%	+0.1	50	50																	1.5		No		1	Royal Sporting Club Anderlecht
Standard Liège	74	1	23	-	5	-	5	39	50.0		-0.1	50	50																	1.5		No		2	Royal Standard de Liège
Gent	59	1	17	-	8	-	8	26	No					64	36															3.4		No		4	KAA Gent
Club Brugge	56	2	17	-	5	-	10	7	No					36	64															3.6		No		5	Club Brugge KV
Zulte Waregem	52	1	15	-	7	-	11	16	No							43	41	16												5.7	+0.09	No		3	SV Zulte Waregem
Westerlo	52	1	15	-	7	-	11	6	No							43	41	16												5.7	+0.09	No		6	KVC Westerlo
Genk	50	1	15	-	5	-	13	-1	No							15	17	54	14											6.7	+0.22	No		8	KRC Genk
Lokeren	48	1	12	-	12	-	9	7	No									14	86											7.9	-0.39	No		7	KSC Lokeren Oost-Vlaanderen
Mechelen	46		12	-	10	-	12	-6	No											39	47	14								9.7	+1.21	No		9	YR KV Mechelen
Cercle Brugge	44	1	13	-	5	-	15	-6	No											37	25	29	9							10.1	-0.40	No		10	Cercle Brugge KSV
Mouscron	44	1	12	-	8	-	13	-4	No											23	22	38	17							10.5	-0.39	No		11	Royal Excelsior Mouscron
Germinal	42	1	11	-	9	-	13	3	No												7	18	51	23						11.9	-0.28	No		12	KFC Germinal Beerschot
Charleroi	40	1	11	-	7	-	15	-6	No														23	77						12.8	-0.14	No		13	Royale Charleroi SC
Dender	35	1	9	-	8	-	16	-13	No																67	33				14.3		No		14	FC Verbroedering Dender EH
Kortrijk	35	1	8	-	11	-	14	-20	No																33	67				14.7		No		15	KV Kortrijk
Roeselare	30	1	8	-	6	-	19	-25	No																		100			16.0		No		16	KSV Roeselare

Tubize	24	1	6	-	6	-	21	-43	No																			100		17.0		75.0	%	17	AFC Tubize

Mons	19	1	3	-	10	-	20	-23	No																				100	18.0		Yes		18	RAEC Mons

Week of 5/2
Zulte Waregem 0 Standard Liège 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	+4.4
Standard Liège	-4.4
Zulte Waregem					-0.2

Tubize 1 Anderlecht 1
3:30 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	-4.4
Standard Liège	+4.4
Dender			No
Roeselare			No
Tubize			+0.3
Mons			+0.5

Genk 0 Kortrijk 1
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Genk					-0.6
Dender					-0.2
Kortrijk					+0.5
Roeselare					-0.2

Dender 0 Mons 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dender			No		-0.1
Tubize			-0.6
Mons			+0.8

Westerlo 1 Roeselare 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					-0.2
Westerlo					+0.7
Genk					-0.2
Lokeren					-0.2
Dender					+0.2
Kortrijk					+0.2
Roeselare			+0.7		-0.3
Tubize			-0.6

Gent 2 Cercle Brugge 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gent					+0.5
Cercle Brugge					-0.6
Mouscron					+0.2

Mouscron 3 Germinal 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mouscron					+0.8
Germinal					-0.7

Germinal 3 Mechelen 1
3:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mechelen					-0.8
Germinal					+0.9

Mechelen 2 Charleroi 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mechelen					+0.9
Charleroi					-0.7

Week of 5/9
Anderlecht 3 Roeselare 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	+24.0				+0.2
Standard Liège	-24.0				-0.2
Dender					+0.2
Roeselare					-0.2

Standard Liège 2 Club Brugge 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	-23.9				-0.2
Standard Liège	+23.9				+0.2
Club Brugge					-0.2

Kortrijk 0 Gent 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gent					+0.3
Club Brugge					-0.2
Dender					+0.2
Kortrijk					-0.4

Mons 1 Tubize 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Tubize			-1.3
Mons			Yes

Mouscron 0 Zulte Waregem 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					+0.7
Genk					-0.3
Lokeren					-0.2
Cercle Brugge					+0.2
Mouscron					-0.5

Charleroi 3 Genk 0
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					+0.2
Westerlo					+0.2
Genk					-0.5
Lokeren					+0.2
Charleroi					+0.5

Cercle Brugge 2 Westerlo 1
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Westerlo					-0.5
Genk					+0.2
Mechelen					-0.3
Cercle Brugge					+0.8
Mouscron					-0.2
Germinal					-0.2

Lokeren 0 Dender 2
3:00 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					+0.2
Genk					+0.2
Lokeren					-0.5
Dender					+0.5
Kortrijk					-0.2
Roeselare					-0.2

Mechelen 3 Lokeren 0
3:30 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					+0.2
Genk					+0.2
Lokeren					-0.5
Mechelen					+0.9
Cercle Brugge					-0.3
Mouscron					-0.2
Germinal					-0.3

Genk vs AnderlechtIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	18.8*50.081.3				1.8*1.51.2
Standard Liège	81.2*50.018.7				1.2*1.51.8
Zulte Waregem					6.15.55.5
Westerlo					6.15.55.5
Genk					5.87.07.4

Gent vs Standard LiègeHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Anderlecht	81.2*50.018.8				1.2*1.51.8
Standard Liège	18.8*50.081.2				1.8*1.51.2

Club Brugge vs MouscronHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mechelen					9.49.410.4
Cercle Brugge					9.810.110.4
Mouscron					11.410.89.4

Roeselare vs Cercle BruggeHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Mechelen					9.49.410.4
Cercle Brugge					11.010.49.0
Mouscron					10.210.410.8

Westerlo vs KortrijkHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					6.05.75.4
Westerlo					5.25.96.2
Dender					14.014.414.6
Kortrijk					15.014.614.4

Tubize vs GerminalHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Germinal					12.412.411.1

Dender vs CharleroiHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Germinal					11.711.712.3
Charleroi					13.013.012.4
Dender					14.014.414.6
Kortrijk					15.014.614.4

Zulte Waregem vs MonsHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Zulte Waregem					5.25.96.2
Westerlo					6.05.75.4

Club Brugge vs LokerenHomeDrawAway
11:59 PM Fri	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Gent					3.73.23.1
Club Brugge					3.33.83.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Jupiler League Title Chances 2008-2009 50/50

Big Games