"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

MLS Playoff Chances 2007 50/50

Fire +32.8, Galaxy -32.8
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seed
PGW-D-LGD%Change12345678910111213Avg.ChangeRPI
DC United5516-7-722In1001.01DC United
Chivas USA5315-8-718In1002.02CD Chivas USA
Dynamo5215-7-820In1003.03Houston Dynamo
Revolution5014-8-88In1004.04New England Revolution
FC Dallas4413-5-12-7In1005.05FC Dallas
Red Bulls4312-7-112In1006.07New York Red Bulls
Fire4010-10-10-5In+32.81007.0+1.006Chicago Fire
Wizards4011-7-120In1008.0-0.678Kansas City Wizards
Crew379-10-11-5Out1009.0+0.339Columbus Crew
Rapids359-8-13-5Out10010.0+0.3310Colorado Rapids
Galaxy349-7-14-10Out-32.810011.0-0.9811Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake276-9-15-14Out10012.012Real Salt Lake
Toronto FC256-7-17-24Out10013.013Toronto FC

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 10/6
Fire 2 Revolution 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Revolution-0.3
Fire+20.0
+0.6
Wizards-1.3
-0.2
Crew-10.6
Rapids-4.4
Galaxy-3.6
Toronto FC*Out
Crew 1 FC Dallas 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas*In
+0.3
Red BullsIn
-0.2
Fire+7.4
Wizards+1.3
Crew-12.9
-0.4
Rapids+2.0
+0.2
Galaxy+2.1
Dynamo 1 Galaxy 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dynamo-0.4
Revolution+0.2
Fire-5.6
Wizards-0.9
Crew-0.2
Rapids-0.3
-0.2
Galaxy+7.0
+0.6
Rapids 1 Toronto FC 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fire-3.3
Wizards-1.6
Crew-0.2
Rapids+5.2
+0.6
Galaxy-0.2
Toronto FC-0.3
Real Salt Lake 2 Chivas USA 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chivas USA+0.4
Dynamo-0.3
Real Salt Lake-0.3
Toronto FC+0.2
Week of 10/13
Chivas USA 1 Rapids 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chivas USA-0.3
Fire-5.6
Wizards-9.0
Crew-0.3
Rapids+17.3
+0.8
Galaxy-2.7
-0.3
Galaxy 2 Toronto FC 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fire-9.2
Wizards-2.5
Crew-0.2
-0.3
Rapids-1.5
-0.2
Galaxy+13.4
+0.7
Real Salt Lake+0.2
Toronto FC-0.2
Galaxy 1 Red Bulls 1
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FC Dallas+0.2
Red Bulls-0.2
Fire-6.2
Wizards+0.7
Rapids+2.0
Galaxy+3.5
-0.1
Red Bulls 2 Wizards 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Red Bulls+0.6
Fire+2.2
+0.2
Wizards-5.3
-0.6
Rapids+2.0
Galaxy+1.1
Revolution 2 Crew 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Revolution-0.2
Fire-0.5
Crew+1.8
+0.5
Rapids-0.4
-0.3
Galaxy-1.0
-0.2
DC United 0 Fire 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fire+1.1
-0.1
CrewOut
Rapids+0.6
Galaxy-0.7
Real Salt Lake 0 Dynamo 1
Mon100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dynamo+0.4
Revolution-0.3
Real Salt Lake-0.3
Toronto FC+0.3
Week of 10/20
Fire 1 Galaxy 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
FireIn
+1.0
Wizards-0.7
Crew+0.3
Rapids+0.3
GalaxyOut
-1.0
Rapids 0 Real Salt Lake 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fire+7.4
+0.2
Wizards+10.2
+0.2
Crew+0.2
RapidsOut
-0.7
Galaxy+7.2
Real Salt Lake+0.3
Toronto FC-0.3
FC Dallas 0 Wizards 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Fire-14.8
-0.4
WizardsIn
+0.6
Rapids-2.8
Galaxy-3.4
DC United 2 Crew 3
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Crew+0.5
Rapids-0.4
Chivas USA 0 Dynamo 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Chivas USA+0.3
Dynamo-0.4
Toronto FC 2 Revolution 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Dynamo+0.2
Revolution-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Henry Ong for adding this league.