East Playoff Chances 2007

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

DC United	55		16	-	7	-	7	22	In			100													1.0		1	.647	DC United
Revolution	50		14	-	8	-	8	8	In						100										4.0		4	.549	New England Revolution

Red Bulls	43		12	-	7	-	11	2	In								100								6.0		7	.509	New York Red Bulls
Fire	40		10	-	10	-	10	-5	In		+19.6							100							7.0	+0.73	6	.449	Chicago Fire
Wizards	40		11	-	7	-	12	0	In										100						8.0	-0.54	8	.496	Kansas City Wizards
Crew	37		9	-	10	-	11	-5	Out											100					9.0	+0.20	9	.458	Columbus Crew
Toronto FC	25		6	-	7	-	17	-24	Out															100	13.0		13	.298	Toronto FC

Week of 10/6
Fire 2 Revolution 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			-0.2
Fire	+18.5		+0.5
Wizards	-1.0		-0.2
Crew	-7.7

Crew 1 FC Dallas 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls	*In		-0.2
Fire	+4.7
Wizards	+0.7
Crew	-9.7		-0.6

Dynamo 1 Galaxy 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.3
Fire	-8.7
Wizards	-2.1
Crew			-0.4

Rapids 1 Toronto FC 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire	-1.4
Wizards	-0.9
Crew			-0.2
Toronto FC			-0.2

Real Salt Lake 2 Chivas USA 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Toronto FC			+0.2

FC Dallas 0 Chivas USA 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DC United			+0.1

Week of 10/13
Chivas USA 1 Rapids 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DC United			+0.2
Fire	-7.0		-0.2
Wizards	-20.2		-0.3
Crew			-0.4

Galaxy 2 Toronto FC 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire	-6.2
Wizards	-1.8
Crew			-0.2
Toronto FC			-0.1

DC United 0 Fire 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DC United			-0.0
Fire	+5.9		+0.2
Wizards	-1.0		-0.1
Crew	Out

Red Bulls 2 Wizards 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			+0.3
Fire	+2.1		+0.1
Wizards	-3.8		-0.4

Galaxy 1 Red Bulls 1
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls			-0.2
Fire	-2.6
Wizards	+2.2		+0.1
Crew			+0.1

Revolution 2 Crew 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			-0.2
Crew	+0.7		+0.7

Real Salt Lake 0 Dynamo 1
Mon	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			-0.3
Toronto FC			+0.3

Week of 10/20
FC Dallas 0 Wizards 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire	-17.3		-0.4
Wizards	In		+0.7

Rapids 0 Real Salt Lake 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire	+8.2		+0.2
Wizards	+20.9		+0.3
Crew			+0.2
Toronto FC			-0.5

Fire 1 Galaxy 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire	In		+0.7
Wizards			-0.5
Crew			+0.2

DC United 2 Crew 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crew			+0.6

Toronto FC 2 Revolution 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			-0.3
Toronto FC			+0.1

Chivas USA 0 Dynamo 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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