Super League Greece Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed																		Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Olympiakos	70		21	-	7	-	2	35	Yes		+23.3	100																1.0	+0.23	No			1	Olympiakos CFP
AEK Athens	68		22	-	2	-	6	48	No		-23.3		100															2.0	-0.09	No			3	AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos	66		20	-	6	-	4	26	No					100														3.0	-0.14	No			2	Panathinaikos FC
Aris FC	50		14	-	8	-	8	13	No						100													4.0	+0.05	No			4	Aris Thessaloniki FC
AE Larissa	45		11	-	12	-	7	5	No							100												5.0	+1.13	No			5	AE Larissa 1964
Panionios	45		13	-	6	-	11	-3	No								100											6.0	+0.53	No			7	Panionios GSS FC
Asteras	44		11	-	11	-	8	4	No									100										7.0	-1.71	No			6	Asteras Tripolis
Skoda Xanthi	36		10	-	6	-	14	-6	No										100									8.0	+0.63	No			9	Skoda Xanthi
PAOK	35		10	-	5	-	15	-6	No											100								9.0	+0.42	No			10	PAOK FC
Iraklis	35		8	-	11	-	11	-6	No												100							10.0	-0.83	No			8	Iraklis FC
Levadiakos	33		10	-	3	-	17	-20	No													100						11.0	+1.33	No		-8.8	11	Levadiakos FC
OFI Crete	32		9	-	5	-	16	-10	No														100					12.0	-1.01	No			13	OFI Crete
Ergotelis	30		7	-	9	-	14	-14	No															100				13.0	+0.70	No		-76.1	12	Ergotelis FC

Atromitos	29		8	-	5	-	17	-13	No																100			14.0	-1.24	Yes		+84.9	14	Atromitos Athens FC
Veria	23		5	-	8	-	17	-23	No																	100		15.0	+0.23	Yes			16	Veria FC
Kalamarias	22		5	-	8	-	17	-30	No																		100	16.0	-0.23	Yes			15	Apollon Kalamarias

Week of 4/13
PAOK 0 AEK Athens 4
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-22.7				-0.2
AEK Athens	+24.4				+0.4
Panathinaikos	-1.7
Skoda Xanthi					+0.2
PAOK					-0.5

Skoda Xanthi 1 Olympiakos 4
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	+22.9				+0.3
AEK Athens	-19.4				-0.2
Panathinaikos	No
Skoda Xanthi					-0.5
PAOK					+0.2

Panathinaikos 1 Aris FC 0
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-2.5
AEK Athens	-2.5				-0.2
Panathinaikos	+5.0				+0.3

OFI Crete 1 Panionios 2
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AE Larissa					-0.2
Panionios					+0.5
Iraklis					+0.2
OFI Crete			+0.1		-0.4

Iraklis 5 Kalamarias 2
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Iraklis			No		+0.5
Levadiakos			-0.2
OFI Crete					-0.2
Ergotelis			-0.3
Veria					+0.2
Kalamarias			Yes		-0.3

Asteras 1 Levadiakos 2
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Asteras					-0.2
Iraklis			+0.1
Levadiakos			-29.1		+0.7
OFI Crete			+0.1
Ergotelis			+15.6		-0.2
Atromitos			+9.8		-0.2
Veria			+2.8
Kalamarias			+0.6

Veria 1 Atromitos 1
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Levadiakos			-2.2		+0.2
Ergotelis			-1.4
Atromitos			*+0.1		-0.1
Veria			Yes		-0.2
Kalamarias			-0.2

AE Larissa 3 Ergotelis 2
1:00 PM Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AE Larissa					+0.5
Panionios					-0.2
Iraklis			No
Levadiakos			-12.9		+0.2
OFI Crete			No
Ergotelis			+22.4		-0.5
Atromitos			-6.8		+0.2
Veria			-1.7
Kalamarias			-0.8

Week of 4/20
AEK Athens 2 Asteras 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-39.2				-0.4
AEK Athens	+39.2				+0.5
AE Larissa					+0.2
Panionios					+0.2
Asteras					-0.5
Ergotelis			-0.2

Olympiakos 3 Iraklis 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	Yes				+0.2
AEK Athens	No				-0.2
Skoda Xanthi					+0.3
PAOK					+0.2
Iraklis					-0.6

Kalamarias 1 Panathinaikos 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-0.2
AEK Athens	+0.2				-0.2
Panathinaikos					+0.2
Veria					+0.2
Kalamarias					-0.2

Levadiakos 5 Veria 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-0.2
AEK Athens	+0.2
Levadiakos			No		+0.7
OFI Crete					-0.2
Ergotelis			+7.9
Atromitos			+0.8		-0.3

Aris FC 2 OFI Crete 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Olympiakos	-0.2
AEK Athens	+0.2
Levadiakos					+0.2
OFI Crete					-0.5
Ergotelis			-0.2

AE Larissa 4 PAOK 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AE Larissa					+0.5
Panionios					-0.3
Asteras					-0.2
Skoda Xanthi					+0.3
PAOK					-0.7
Iraklis					+0.2

Panionios 2 Atromitos 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
AE Larissa					-0.3
Panionios					+0.5
Asteras					-0.2
Levadiakos			No		+0.3
Ergotelis			-13.6		+0.2
Atromitos			+22.4		-0.6

Ergotelis 2 Skoda Xanthi 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Skoda Xanthi					-0.4
Iraklis					+0.3
Levadiakos			+14.7		-0.2
Ergotelis			-37.1		+0.5
Atromitos			+22.4		-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Super League Greece Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

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