Ligue 1 Orange Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title												Chance will finish season at seed																						Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Lyon	79		24	-	7	-	7	37	Yes		+13.7	100																				1.0	+0.14	No			1	Olympique Lyonnais
Bordeaux	75		22	-	9	-	7	27	No		-13.7		100																			2.0	-0.14	No			2	FC Girondins de Bordeaux
Marseille	62		17	-	11	-	10	13	No					100																		3.0	+0.87	No			6	Olympique de Marseille
Nancy	60		15	-	15	-	8	14	No						100																	4.0	-0.73	No			3	AS Nancy-Lorraine
Saint-Étienne	58		16	-	10	-	12	13	No							100																5.0	+1.24	No			4	AS Saint-Étienne Loire
Rennes	58		16	-	10	-	12	3	No								100															6.0	+0.73	No			9	Stade Rennais FC
Lille	57		13	-	18	-	7	13	No									100														7.0	-1.66	No			5	Lille Olympique Sporting Club
Nice	55		13	-	16	-	9	5	No										100													8.0	+1.11	No			7	OGC Nice
Le Mans UC72	53		14	-	11	-	13	-3	No											100												9.0	-0.53	No			10	Le Mans Union Club 72
Lorient	52		12	-	16	-	10	-3	No												100											10.0	+0.13	No			8	FC Lorient
Caen	51		13	-	12	-	13	-5	No													100										11.0	-1.17	No			11	SM Caen
Monaco	47		13	-	8	-	17	-8	No														100									12.0	+0.30	No			14	AS Monaco FC
Valenciennes	45		12	-	9	-	17	2	No															100								13.0	+0.23	No			18	Valenciennes FC
Sochaux	44		10	-	14	-	14	-9	No																100							14.0	+0.02	No			12	FC Sochaux-Montbéliard
Auxerre	44		12	-	8	-	18	-19	No																	100						15.0	-0.56	No			17	AJ Auxerre
PSG	43		10	-	13	-	15	-8	No																		100					16.0	+0.66	No		-18.2	15	Paris Saint-Germain FC
Toulouse	42		9	-	15	-	14	-6	No																			100				17.0	+0.06	No		-33.2	13	Toulouse FC

Lens	40		9	-	13	-	16	-9	No																				100			18.0	-0.71	Yes		+51.4	16	RC Lens
Strasbourg	35		9	-	8	-	21	-21	No																					100		19.0		Yes			19	RC Strasbourg
Metz	24		5	-	9	-	24	-36	No																						100	20.0		Yes			20	FC Metz

Week of 5/10
Bordeaux 2 Sochaux 0
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lyon	-19.2				-0.2
Bordeaux	+19.2				+0.2
Monaco					+0.2
Valenciennes			*No		+0.2
Sochaux			+0.1		-0.9
Auxerre					+0.2

Lyon 1 Nancy 0
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lyon	+14.1
Bordeaux	-14.1
Marseille					+0.2
Nancy					-0.2

Le Mans UC72 0 Marseille 0
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Le Mans UC72					-0.2

Strasbourg 1 Caen 4
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nice					-0.2
Lorient					-0.2
Caen					+0.9
PSG			-1.0
Toulouse			-1.4
Lens			-1.2
Strasbourg			Yes		-0.2

Rennes 2 Toulouse 1
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Saint-Étienne					-0.2
Rennes					+0.9
Lille					-0.3
Le Mans UC72					-0.2
Monaco			No
Valenciennes			*No
Sochaux			No
Auxerre			No
PSG			-9.1		+0.2
Toulouse			+18.0		-0.6
Lens			-6.8		+0.2
Strasbourg			-1.9

Monaco 3 Auxerre 0
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Monaco			No		+1.2
Auxerre			+0.1		-1.0

Metz 1 Lorient 2
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nice					-0.2
Lorient					+1.1
Caen					-0.2

Valenciennes 1 Nice 2
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rennes					-0.2
Nice					+1.1
Le Mans UC72					-0.2
Valenciennes					-0.9

PSG 1 Saint-Étienne 1
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Monaco			No
Valenciennes			*No
Sochaux			No
Auxerre			No
PSG			+2.1		-0.2
Toulouse			-0.4
Lens			-1.1
Strasbourg			-0.3

Lille 2 Lens 1
3:45 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Saint-Étienne					-0.2
Rennes					-0.2
Lille					+0.8
Le Mans UC72					-0.2
Monaco			No
Valenciennes			*No
Sochaux			No
Auxerre			No
PSG			-8.9		+0.2
Toulouse			-7.5		+0.2
Lens			+18.6		-0.5
Strasbourg			-1.9

Week of 5/17
Auxerre 1 Lyon 3
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lyon	Yes
Bordeaux	No
Valenciennes					+0.2
Sochaux					+0.3
Auxerre					-0.6

Lens 2 Bordeaux 2
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lyon	Yes
Bordeaux	No
PSG			+5.2
Toulouse			+4.3
Lens			-9.5

Toulouse 2 Valenciennes 1
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lyon	-0.4
Bordeaux	+0.4
Monaco					+0.2
Valenciennes					-0.5
PSG			+14.6		-0.3
Toulouse			-27.6		+0.5
Lens			+13.0		-0.2

Sochaux 1 PSG 2
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Valenciennes					+0.2
Sochaux					-0.6
Auxerre					+0.3
PSG			No		+0.7
Toulouse			+5.2		-0.3
Lens			+13.0		-0.3

Nancy 2 Rennes 3
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Saint-Étienne					-0.3
Rennes					+1.0
Lille					-0.4
Le Mans UC72					-0.2

Saint-Étienne 4 Monaco 0
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Saint-Étienne					+0.9
Rennes					-0.3
Lille					-0.4

Marseille 4 Strasbourg 3
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Marseille					+0.5
Nancy					-0.4

Nice 3 Caen 1
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rennes					-0.2
Nice					+1.1
Caen					-0.8

Lorient 1 Lille 1
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Lille					-0.4
Nice					+0.2
Le Mans UC72					+0.2
Lorient					-0.5

Metz 4 Le Mans UC72 3
3:50 PM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Nice					+0.3
Le Mans UC72					-0.9
Lorient					+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Ligue 1 Orange Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

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