Football League Two Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will win title											Promoted		Chance will finish season at seed																										Relegated
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI

Milton Keynes	97		29	-	10	-	7	45	Yes		Yes		100																								1.0		No		1	Milton Keynes Dons FC
Peterborough	92		28	-	8	-	10	41	No		Yes			100																							2.0		No		2	Peterborough United FC
Hereford	88		26	-	10	-	10	31	No		Yes				100																						3.0		No		3	Hereford United FC

Stockport	82		24	-	10	-	12	18	No		25.0	%				100																					4.0	+0.67	No		6	Stockport County FC
Rochdale	80		23	-	11	-	12	23	No		25.0						100																				5.0	-0.67	No		7	Rochdale AFC
Darlington	78		22	-	12	-	12	27	No		25.0							100																			6.0	+0.33	No		4	Darlington FC
Wycombe	78		22	-	12	-	12	14	No		25.0								100																		7.0	-0.33	No		5	Wycombe Wanderers FC

Rotherham	74		21	-	11	-	14	4	No		No									100																	8.0	+0.14	No		8	Rotherham United FC
Chesterfield	69		19	-	12	-	15	20	No		No										100																9.0	-0.14	No		9	Chesterfield FC
Bradford	62		17	-	11	-	18	2	No		No											100															10.0	+0.15	No		12	Bradford City AFC
Morecambe	60		16	-	12	-	18	-4	No		No												100														11.0	+1.36	No		11	Morecambe FC
Barnet	60		16	-	12	-	18	-7	No		No													100													12.0	-0.44	No		10	Barnet FC
Bury	59		16	-	11	-	19	-3	No		No														100												13.0	+1.74	No		13	Bury FC
Brentford	59		17	-	8	-	21	-18	No		No															100											14.0	-1.10	No		14	Brentford FC
Lincoln City	58		18	-	4	-	24	-16	No		No																100										15.0	-1.33	No		15	Lincoln City FC
Grimsby	55		15	-	10	-	21	-11	No		No																	100									16.0	-0.38	No		16	Grimsby Town FC
Accrington	51		16	-	3	-	27	-34	No		No																		100								17.0	+0.47	No		19	Accrington Stanley FC
Shrewsbury	50		12	-	14	-	20	-9	No		No																			100							18.0	+0.24	No		21	Shrewsbury Town FC
Macclesfield	50		11	-	17	-	18	-17	No		No																				100						19.0	+0.08	No		18	Macclesfield Town FC
Dag & Red	49		13	-	10	-	23	-21	No		No																					100					20.0	+1.39	No		17	Dagenham & Redbridge FC
Notts County	48		10	-	18	-	18	-16	No		No																						100				21.0	-0.81	No		22	Notts County FC
Chester	47		12	-	11	-	23	-17	No		No																							100			22.0	-1.37	No		20	Chester City FC

Mansfield	42		11	-	9	-	26	-20	No		No																								100		23.0		Yes		23	Mansfield Town FC
Wrexham	40		10	-	10	-	26	-32	No		No																									100	24.0		Yes		24	Wrexham FC

Week of 4/26
Grimsby 1 Peterborough 4
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Milton Keynes	-8.3
Peterborough	+8.3
Barnet							+0.2
Lincoln City							+0.2
Grimsby							-0.7

Bradford 1 Milton Keynes 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Milton Keynes	Yes
Peterborough	No
Bradford							-0.2

Darlington 2 Dag & Red 3
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Darlington							-0.4
Wycombe							+0.2
Macclesfield					+0.5
Dag & Red					-22.8		+0.8
Notts County					+8.8		-0.2
Chester					+4.2		-0.2
Mansfield					+9.2		-0.2

Macclesfield 1 Chesterfield 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rotherham							+0.2
Chesterfield							-0.2
Accrington							-0.3
Macclesfield					No		+1.0

Brentford 0 Hereford 3
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hereford			+12.3				+0.2
Stockport			-7.7
Rochdale			-4.6
Morecambe							+0.2
Brentford							-0.7

Mansfield 0 Rotherham 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Rotherham							+0.3
Chesterfield							-0.2
Macclesfield					No
Dag & Red					-12.5		+0.2
Notts County					-5.9		+0.2
Chester					-2.8
Mansfield					+21.7		-0.6

Chester 0 Stockport 0
3:45 PM Tue	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hereford			+4.1
Stockport			-4.3
Rochdale			+0.2
Dag & Red					+0.2
Notts County					+0.4
Chester					-0.7		-0.2
Mansfield					+0.2

Barnet 2 Stockport 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hereford			+6.5
Stockport			-7.6				-0.5
Rochdale			+1.1				+0.2
Barnet							+1.0
Brentford							-0.3

Bury 1 Rochdale 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Hereford			+1.4
Stockport			+0.7
Rochdale			-2.2				-0.0
Bury							-0.3

Shrewsbury 0 Chester 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Shrewsbury							+0.1
Dag & Red					+0.2
Notts County					+0.4
Chester					-0.8		-0.3
Mansfield					*+0.1

Morecambe 1 Lincoln City 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Morecambe							-0.8
Lincoln City							+0.9

Wrexham 1 Accrington 3
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington							+0.7
Shrewsbury							-0.2

Notts County 1 Wycombe 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Darlington							+0.2
Wycombe							-0.4
Macclesfield							-0.2
Dag & Red					+2.5		-0.2
Notts County					No		+1.0
Mansfield					+6.4		-0.2

Week of 5/3
Stockport 1 Brentford 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Stockport							+0.3
Rochdale							-0.3
Morecambe							+0.3
Barnet							+0.2
Bury							+0.2
Brentford							-1.1
Lincoln City							+0.3

Accrington 0 Bury 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Morecambe							-0.2
Bury							+1.1
Brentford							-0.2
Lincoln City							-0.4
Grimsby							-0.2
Accrington							-0.3

Lincoln City 2 Wrexham 4
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Morecambe							+0.2
Brentford							+0.3
Lincoln City							-1.1
Grimsby							+0.2

Rotherham 1 Barnet 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Morecambe							+0.3
Barnet							-0.8
Lincoln City							+0.2

Chesterfield 1 Notts County 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Macclesfield							+0.2
Notts County							-0.6

Dag & Red 2 Mansfield 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Dag & Red							+0.7
Notts County							-0.4
Chester							-0.3

Wycombe 2 Bradford 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Darlington							-0.3
Wycombe							+0.3
Bradford							-0.2
Barnet							+0.2

Chester 0 Macclesfield 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington							+0.2
Macclesfield							+0.1
Chester							-0.4

Hereford 2 Grimsby 0
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Bury							+0.3
Grimsby							-0.4

Peterborough 0 Darlington 2
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Darlington							+0.3
Wycombe							-0.3

Rochdale 1 Shrewsbury 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Accrington							+0.2
Shrewsbury							-0.1

Milton Keynes 1 Morecambe 1
11:00 AM Sat	100.0*	Chance wins title	100.0*	Promoted	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Morecambe							-0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Football League Two Title Chances 2007-2008 50/50

Big Games