MLS Playoff Chances 2006 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

DC United	55		15	-	10	-	7	14	In			100												1.0		1	DC United
FC Dallas	52		16	-	4	-	12	4	In				100											2.0		3	FC Dallas
Revolution	48		12	-	12	-	8	4	In					100										3.0		2	New England Revolution
Dynamo	46		11	-	13	-	8	4	In						100									4.0	+0.33	5	Houston Dynamo
Fire	47		13	-	8	-	11	2	In							100								5.0	-0.11	4	Chicago Fire
Chivas USA	43		10	-	13	-	9	3	In								100							6.0	-0.22	6	CD Chivas USA
Rapids	41		11	-	8	-	13	-13	In									100						7.0		8	Colorado Rapids
Red Bulls	39		9	-	12	-	11	0	In		+32.8								100					8.0	+0.33	11	New York Red Bulls

Galaxy	39		11	-	6	-	15	0	Out											100				9.0	+0.33	9	Los Angeles Galaxy
Real Salt Lake	39		10	-	9	-	13	-4	Out		-32.8										100			10.0	-0.66	7	Real Salt Lake
Wizards	38		10	-	8	-	14	-2	Out													100		11.0		10	Kansas City Wizards
Crew	33		8	-	9	-	15	-12	Out														100	12.0		12	Columbus Crew

Week of 9/30
Galaxy 3 Chivas USA 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	-1.1
Dynamo			+0.2
Fire			+0.2
Chivas USA	-0.2		-0.6
Rapids	-0.9
Red Bulls	-1.5		-0.2
Galaxy	+14.3		+0.7
Real Salt Lake	-6.3
Wizards	-4.0		-0.2

Red Bulls 1 Fire 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	-0.6
Fire			-0.4
Chivas USA			+0.2
Rapids	-1.6
Red Bulls	+10.6		+0.6
Galaxy	-1.6		-0.2
Real Salt Lake	-4.6
Wizards	-2.1		-0.2

Wizards 3 Real Salt Lake 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	+0.6
Rapids	+0.5
Red Bulls	+2.3
Galaxy	+3.3
Real Salt Lake	+3.1		-0.0
Wizards	-9.9		-0.3

Revolution 3 Rapids 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	+3.3		+1.1
Rapids	-4.2		-0.9
Red Bulls	+1.2
Real Salt Lake	-0.5
Wizards	*+0.2

Dynamo 1 DC United 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo	In		+0.7
Chivas USA			-0.2

Week of 10/7
FC Dallas 2 Galaxy 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Chivas USA	In
Rapids	+2.9
Red Bulls	+5.2		+0.2
Galaxy	-20.6		-0.7
Real Salt Lake	+10.0		+0.2
Wizards	+2.4		+0.2

Wizards 2 Chivas USA 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.2
Dynamo			+0.2
Fire			+0.2
Chivas USA	-0.3		-0.7
Rapids	-3.5
Red Bulls	-1.0
Galaxy	-5.3		-0.3
Real Salt Lake	-6.3
Wizards	+16.4		+0.7

Rapids 1 Red Bulls 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	+6.8		-0.0
Red Bulls	-10.1		-0.3
Galaxy	+0.3
Real Salt Lake	+2.6
Wizards	+0.4

Real Salt Lake 1 Dynamo 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo			-0.1
Chivas USA	In
Rapids	+1.9
Red Bulls	+3.2
Galaxy	+3.3
Real Salt Lake	-8.0		-0.2
Wizards	-0.6

DC United 1 Revolution 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.8
Dynamo			-0.2
Fire			-0.2
Chivas USA			-0.3

Fire 1 Crew 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.2
Dynamo			+0.2
Fire			-0.6
Chivas USA			+0.2

Week of 10/14
Red Bulls 3 Wizards 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	In		+0.2
Red Bulls	+44.6		+1.4
Galaxy	-6.9		-0.2
Real Salt Lake	-8.1
Wizards	Out		-1.3

Chivas USA 1 Real Salt Lake 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Fire			+0.2
Chivas USA			-0.2
Red Bulls	In		+0.3
Galaxy			+0.3
Real Salt Lake	Out		-0.7

Galaxy 5 FC Dallas 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Bulls	-0.6		-0.3
Galaxy	+16.0		+1.4
Real Salt Lake	-7.8		-0.5
Wizards	-7.6		-0.5

Dynamo 3 Rapids 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo			+0.2
Rapids	In		-0.0
Wizards	-3.7

DC United 2 Fire 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Dynamo			-0.7
Fire			+0.9
Chivas USA			-0.2

Revolution 1 Crew 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.7
Dynamo			-0.3
Fire			-0.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLS Playoff Chances 2006 50/50

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