| Week of 12/14 |
| Titans 24 Jaguars 17 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | In | | +0.1 | |
| Jaguars | -26.0 | | -1.0 | |
| Titans | +1.1 | | +1.3 | |
|
| Colts 34 Bengals 16 |
| 8:30 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | +0.3 | |
| Jaguars | +5.9 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Cardinals 20 Broncos 37 |
| 4:05 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | -0.2 | | | |
| Jaguars | -4.2 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Chargers 20 Chiefs 9 |
| 4:05 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | -0.0 | |
| Jaguars | +1.7 | | +0.0 | |
| Titans | | | +0.0 | |
|
| Vikings 13 Jets 26 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +1.2 | | | |
|
| Bills 21 Dolphins 0 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -0.9 | | | |
| Titans | | | -0.0 | |
| Texans | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Ravens 27 Browns 17 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -0.2 | | | |
| Titans | | | +0.0 | |
| Texans | | | +0.1 | |
|
| Packers 17 Lions 9 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -0.2 | | | |
|
| Saints 10 Redskins 16 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | *-0.2 | | | |
|
| Bears 34 Bucs 31 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -0.2 | | | |
|
| Patriots 40 Texans 7 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | +0.0 | |
| Texans | | | -0.1 | |
|
| Panthers 3 Steelers 37 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Titans | | | -0.1 | |
| Texans | | | -0.0 | |
|
| Week of 12/21 |
| Jaguars 21 Patriots 24 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -33.2 | | -1.1 | |
| Titans | +0.2 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Dolphins 10 Jets 13 |
| 8:30 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -9.5 | | -0.2 | |
| Titans | -0.9 | | | |
| Texans | | | +0.3 | |
|
| Bills 29 Titans 30 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.4 | | +0.0 | |
| Titans | +1.2 | | +1.7 | |
|
| Raiders 9 Chiefs 20 |
| 8:00 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +1.5 | | | |
| Titans | | | -0.2 | |
|
| Cowboys 7 Eagles 23 |
| 5:00 PM Mon | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -1.1 | | | |
|
| Packers 9 Vikings 7 |
| 8:00 PM Thu | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | -0.8 | | | |
|
| Browns 7 Bucs 22 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.6 | | | |
|
| Texans 27 Colts 24 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | -0.4 | |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
| Texans | | | +0.2 | |
|
| Rams 37 Redskins 31 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| 49ers 20 Cardinals 26 |
| 4:05 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| Lions 21 Bears 26 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| Giants 7 Saints 30 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| Seahawks 17 Chargers 20 |
| 4:15 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| Falcons 3 Panthers 10 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.5 | | | |
|
| Broncos 24 Bengals 23 |
| 4:15 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +0.4 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Steelers 7 Ravens 31 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | -0.1 | |
| Jaguars | | | +0.0 | |
| Titans | -0.2 | | +0.2 | |
|
| Week of 12/30 |
| Bengals 17 Steelers 23 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +4.8 | | +0.6 | |
| Titans | +1.2 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Chiefs 35 Jaguars 30 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | Out | | -1.3 | |
| Titans | +1.2 | | -0.2 | |
|
| Jets 23 Raiders 3 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | Out | | -0.1 | |
|
| Broncos 23 49ers 26 |
| 4:15 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Titans | +2.6 | | | |
|
| Titans 23 Patriots 40 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | -0.1 | |
| Jaguars | +0.9 | | +0.2 | |
| Titans | Out | | -0.4 | |
|
| Redskins 28 Giants 34 |
| 8:00 PM Sat | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jaguars | +1.0 | | +0.0 | |
|
| Texans 14 Browns 6 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Texans | | | +0.7 | |
|
| Colts 27 Dolphins 22 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | +0.3 | |
| Texans | | | +0.2 | |
|
| Ravens 19 Bills 7 |
| 1:00 PM Sun | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Colts | | | -0.1 | |
| Jaguars | | | +0.1 | |
| Titans | | | +0.2 | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.