| Saturday |
| Maple Leafs 6 Canadiens 5 |
| 7:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs | +45.8 | | +0.9 | |
| Canadiens | Out | | -0.8 | |
|
| Flyers 2 Islanders 4 |
| 1:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs | -9.8 | | -0.2 | |
| Canadiens | -2.8 | | -0.1 | |
|
| Bruins 3 Senators 6 |
| 7:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Senators | | | +0.3 | |
|
| Penguins 2 Rangers 1 |
| 7:30 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Senators | | | -0.2 | |
| Canadiens | *-0.1 | | | |
|
| Kings 3 Coyotes 2 |
| 4:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Canadiens | *-0.1 | | | |
|
| Sunday |
| Devils 2 Islanders 3 (so) |
| 1:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs | Out | | -0.5 | |
| Canadiens | | | -0.4 | |
|
| Avalanche 6 Flames 3 |
| 9:00 PM | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Maple Leafs | +0.1 | | | |
* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.