SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

A-League Playoff Chances 2006-2007 50/50

No up, no down

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Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

													100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs													Chance will finish regular season at seed										Relegated
	P		G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Avg.	Change	%	Change		RPI

Melbourne	45			14	-	3	-	4	21	In			100								1.0		No			1	Melbourne
Adelaide	33			10	-	3	-	8	5	In				100							2.0	+0.63	No			3	Adelaide United
Sydney	32			8	-	8	-	5	10	In					100						3.0	-0.63	No			2	Sydney FC
Newcastle	30			8	-	6	-	7	2	In						100					4.0		No			5	Newcastle United

Brisbane	29			8	-	5	-	8	-2	Out							100				5.0		No			4	Brisbane Roar FC
Central Coast	24			6	-	6	-	9	-4	Out								100			6.0		No			6	Central Coast
Perth	20			5	-	5	-	11	-6	Out									100		7.0		No			7	Perth Glory FC

New Zealand	19			5	-	4	-	12	-26	Out										100	8.0		Yes			8	New Zealand

Big Games

Who should we root for? Explain

Week of 1/5
Newcastle 1 Central Coast 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide	*-0.1				-0.0
Newcastle	+31.1				+0.9
Brisbane	-7.2				-0.1
Central Coast	-24.0				-0.7
Perth	+0.2

Central Coast 0 New Zealand 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide	-0.6				-0.0
Newcastle	+2.5				+0.0
Brisbane	+2.4				+0.1
Central Coast	-4.3				-0.1
Perth			No		+0.1
New Zealand			Yes		-0.1

Perth 2 Melbourne 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Newcastle	+0.8				+0.0
Central Coast					+0.0
Perth	Out		+0.3		-0.1
New Zealand			-0.3

Sydney 0 New Zealand 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Sydney					-0.1
Perth			+3.8
New Zealand			-3.8

Week of 1/12
Melbourne 1 Brisbane 2
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide	-7.0				-0.2
Newcastle	-17.8				-0.2
Brisbane	+29.1				+0.6
Central Coast	-4.2				-0.1

Adelaide 1 Sydney 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide	+20.7				+0.7
Sydney					-0.2
Newcastle	-9.4				-0.2
Brisbane	-9.3				-0.2
Central Coast	Out				-0.1

Perth 3 Newcastle 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide	+4.7				+0.1
Sydney	In
Newcastle	-9.4				-0.2
Brisbane	+6.7				+0.1
Central Coast	Out
Perth					-0.1

Week of 1/19
Brisbane 1 Sydney 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide					+0.4
Sydney					-0.1
Newcastle	In				+0.4
Brisbane	Out				-0.6

Newcastle 4 Melbourne 0
Fri	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Newcastle	+29.7				+0.3
Brisbane	-29.7				-0.3

Central Coast 1 Adelaide 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Relegated	100.0*	Average seed
Adelaide					+0.6
Sydney					-0.6

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Henry Ong for adding this league.