MLS Playoff Chances 2005 50/50

												100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

Earthquakes	64		18	-	10	-	4	22	In			100												1.0	+1.89	1	San Jose Earthquakes
Revolution	59		17	-	8	-	7	18	In				100											2.0	+0.44	2	New England Revolution
DC United	54		16	-	6	-	10	21	In		+33.3			100										3.0	+2.00	4	DC United
FC Dallas	48		13	-	9	-	10	8	In						100									4.0	+0.22	7	FC Dallas
Fire	49		15	-	4	-	13	-1	In							100								5.0		6	Chicago Fire
Rapids	45		13	-	6	-	13	3	In		+11.0						100							6.0	+1.00	10	Colorado Rapids
New York	47		12	-	11	-	9	4	In		+44.7							100						7.0	-1.00	3	New York MetroStars
Galaxy	45		13	-	6	-	13	-1	In		+33.3								100					8.0	+0.66	8	Los Angeles Galaxy

Wizards	45		11	-	12	-	9	8	Out		-78.0									100				9.0	-1.11	5	Kansas City Wizards
Crew	38		11	-	5	-	16	-11	Out												100			10.0		9	Columbus Crew
Real Salt Lake	20		5	-	5	-	22	-35	Out		-33.3											100		11.0	-2.89	11	Real Salt Lake
Chivas USA	18		4	-	6	-	22	-36	Out		-11.0												100	12.0	-1.20	12	CD Chivas USA

Week of 10/1
Wizards 0 Fire 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	-0.4
DC United	+0.4		-0.2
Fire	+12.8		+1.2
New York	+6.2
Wizards	-19.2		-1.0

Real Salt Lake 1 DC United 3
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes	+0.6
Revolution	-2.7		-0.2
DC United	+9.4		+0.8
FC Dallas	+0.6
Fire	-2.4		-0.3
Galaxy	+4.2
Wizards	-4.1
Real Salt Lake	-6.5		-0.6
Chivas USA	+0.7		+0.2

New York 1 DC United 4
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	-1.8
DC United	+7.8		+1.0
Fire	+0.7
New York	-12.5		-0.8
Wizards	+5.8

Galaxy 2 FC Dallas 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes	-0.8
FC Dallas	-6.5		-0.8
Rapids	-0.9		-0.2
Galaxy	+9.7		+1.1
Real Salt Lake	-1.3

Revolution 0 Earthquakes 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes	+2.1		+0.7
Revolution	-6.0		-0.6
DC United	+1.9
Fire	+1.4
New York	+0.5
Galaxy	-0.5
Wizards	+1.6

Rapids 2 Real Salt Lake 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	+5.8		+1.0
Galaxy			-0.3
Real Salt Lake	-5.5		-0.6

Fire 2 New York 2
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	+0.3
DC United	+0.8
Fire	-1.7		-0.2
New York	-3.1		-0.1
Wizards	+3.8

FC Dallas 2 Crew 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	+3.5		+0.7
Galaxy	-1.1		-0.4
Crew			-0.2
Real Salt Lake	-0.8

Crew 0 Chivas USA 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Wizards	+0.7
Crew	-1.9		-0.4
Chivas USA	+0.8		+0.5

Rapids 1 Chivas USA 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Rapids	+0.3		-0.1
Galaxy	-0.8
Chivas USA	+1.3		-0.1

Week of 10/8
DC United 1 New York 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	+0.4
DC United	-1.7		-0.4
Fire	+0.8
New York	+13.3		+0.6
Wizards	-12.8		-0.2

Real Salt Lake 0 Rapids 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	+5.5		+0.2
Rapids			+0.9
Galaxy	+5.1
Real Salt Lake	-13.9		-1.1
Chivas USA	+3.3		+0.2

Fire 1 Crew 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
DC United	+0.7
Fire	-5.4		-0.5
Wizards	+3.8
Crew			+0.4

Earthquakes 2 Real Salt Lake 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes	-1.6		-0.1
Galaxy	*-0.2
Real Salt Lake	+2.3		-0.0

Wizards 2 Revolution 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution	+0.2		+0.0
DC United	+0.7
Fire	-0.8
New York	-1.5
Wizards	+1.3		-0.1

FC Dallas 0 Rapids 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes	+0.3
FC Dallas	-2.2		-0.0
Rapids			-0.1
Galaxy	+0.3
Real Salt Lake	+0.5
Chivas USA	+1.1

Week of 10/15
Chivas USA 0 New York 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			+0.2
FC Dallas			+0.2
Rapids	In		+0.3
New York	In		+1.0
Galaxy			-0.3
Wizards	-44.6		-0.4
Chivas USA	Out		-1.2

Galaxy 1 Earthquakes 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Earthquakes			+0.3
FC Dallas	+1.3		+0.3
Rapids			+0.8
Galaxy	-6.1		-1.4
Real Salt Lake			-0.2
Chivas USA	+4.9

FC Dallas 2 Wizards 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
FC Dallas	-2.6		+0.2
New York	-0.3		+0.0
Galaxy	+1.2
Wizards	+0.3		-0.0
Chivas USA	+1.4

Revolution 1 Fire 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Revolution			+0.3
Fire			-0.7
New York			+0.2
Wizards			+0.2
Crew			+0.2

DC United 2 Crew 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Crew			-0.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

MLS Playoff Chances 2005 50/50

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