Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Playoff Chances 1997 50/50

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs											Chance will finish regular season at seed																												Serie B
	P	G	W	-	D	-	L	GD	%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	Avg.	Change	%	Change	RPI

Vasco da Gama	54		17	-	3	-	5	23	In		100																										1.0		No		1	Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Internacional	51		15	-	6	-	4	31	In			100																									2.0		No		2	Sport Club Internacional
Atletico-MG	47		14	-	5	-	6	9	In				100																								3.0		No		3	Clube Atletico Mineiro
Portuguesa	45		12	-	9	-	4	17	In					100																							4.0		No		4	Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos
Flamengo	42		12	-	6	-	7	6	In						100																						5.0	+0.52	No		6	Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Santos	41		12	-	5	-	8	6	In							100																					6.0		No		8	Santos Futebol Clube
Palmeiras	40		10	-	10	-	5	23	In								100																				7.0	-0.52	No		5	Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Juventude	37		9	-	10	-	6	4	In									100																			8.0		No		7	Esporte Clube Juventude

Vitoria	36		9	-	9	-	7	4	Out										100																		9.0		No		9	Esporte Clube Vitoria
Botafogo	34		8	-	10	-	7	0	Out											100																	10.0	+1.14	No		11	Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Sport Recife	33		9	-	6	-	10	2	Out												100																11.0	+0.18	No		16	Sport Club do Recife
Sao Paulo	33		8	-	9	-	8	9	Out													100															12.0	-0.33	No		10	Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Parana	32		8	-	8	-	9	0	Out														100														13.0	-0.99	No		14	Parana Clube
Gremio	31		7	-	10	-	8	-13	Out															100													14.0		No		15	Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Coritiba	30		7	-	9	-	9	-1	Out																100												15.0		No		18	Coritiba Football Club
America-RN	30		7	-	9	-	9	-9	Out																	100											16.0		No		13	America Futebol Clube-RN
Corinthians	29		8	-	5	-	12	-4	Out																		100										17.0		No		20	Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Atletico-PR	28		9	-	6	-	10	-4	Out																			100									18.0		No		12	Clube Atletico Paranaense
Goias	28		8	-	4	-	13	-10	Out																				100								19.0		No		19	Goias Esporte Clube
Cruzeiro	28		6	-	10	-	9	-5	Out																					100							20.0		No		23	Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Guarani	28		6	-	10	-	9	-7	Out																						100						21.0		No		17	Guarani Futebol Clube
Bragantino	26		7	-	5	-	13	-19	Out																							100					22.0		No		24	Clube Atletico Bragantino

Bahia	26		6	-	8	-	11	-10	Out																								100				23.0		Yes		21	Esporte Clube Bahia
Criciuma	25		6	-	7	-	12	-8	Out																									100			24.0		Yes		22	Criciuma Esporte Clube
Fluminense	22		4	-	10	-	11	-15	Out																										100		25.0		Yes		25	Fluminense Football Club
Uniao Sao Joao	15		2	-	9	-	14	-29	Out																											100	26.0		Yes		26	Uniao Sao Joao Esporte Clube

Week of 10/25
Flamengo 1 Vitoria 0
Thu	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventude	+7.7
Vitoria	-21.1				-0.9
Sao Paulo	+0.6
Parana	+0.2

Palmeiras 5 Gremio 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	+14.5				+0.8

Atletico-MG 3 America-RN 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	In				+0.5
America-RN	-13.3				-1.2

Santos 3 Bahia 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	+10.8				+0.8
Bahia	Out		+6.5		-1.8

Guarani 0 Juventude 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-MG	*In
Juventude	-7.5				-0.3
Guarani			+6.4		-0.3

Vitoria 1 Cruzeiro 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Vitoria	-5.4				-0.2
Cruzeiro	-0.3		-1.0		-0.6

Botafogo 0 Parana 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Parana	-1.1		-0.2		-0.5

Coritiba 0 Atletico-PR 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba	-1.2		+1.6		-2.0
Atletico-PR			-25.6		+1.5

Sport Recife 2 Bragantino 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sport Recife			-2.0		+2.3
Bragantino	Out		+10.3		-1.9

Sao Paulo 7 Uniao Sao Joao 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sao Paulo	+0.4		-2.5		+2.3
Uniao Sao Joao			Yes		-0.3

Criciuma 3 Vasco da Gama 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Criciuma	Out		+10.3		-1.7

Portuguesa 1 Goias 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Goias			-10.9		+2.1

Fluminense 2 Criciuma 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sport Recife			No
Sao Paulo			No
Parana			No
Criciuma			+17.9		-1.6

Week of 11/1
Vitoria 2 Santos 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	-2.5				-0.6
Juventude	-12.9				-0.2
Vitoria	+27.4				+1.0
Sport Recife	Out
Sao Paulo	Out
Parana	Out
Gremio	Out
Coritiba	Out
Goias	Out
Cruzeiro	Out

Juventude 2 Bragantino 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	-2.9
Palmeiras	-0.2
Juventude	+26.8				+1.4
Vitoria	-18.7				-0.3
Bragantino			+3.4		-1.7

America-RN 1 Sao Paulo 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
America-RN	-9.0				-1.6

Cruzeiro 2 Botafogo 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Cruzeiro	Out		+1.7		-2.3

Juventude 1 Fluminense 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Juventude	-5.4
Vitoria	+2.6
Fluminense			+9.9		-0.4

Santos 2 America-RN 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Santos	In				+0.6
America-RN	Out				-1.9

Corinthians 0 Sport Recife 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Sport Recife	+2.1				+2.1
Corinthians			+17.1		-1.8

Palmeiras 3 Goias 3
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	+1.2
Goias			No		-0.5

Flamengo 1 Coritiba 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Flamengo	In				+0.6
Coritiba			+1.8		-2.0

Corinthians 1 Flamengo 0
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians			-32.2		+1.8
Bahia			+10.6		-0.3
Fluminense			Yes

Uniao Sao Joao 0 Guarani 1
Wed	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Guarani			-26.9		+1.4

Atletico-PR 2 Internacional 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-PR			-21.4		+2.0

Bragantino 1 Uniao Sao Joao 0
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bragantino			-19.2		+2.0

Vasco da Gama 3 Bahia 1
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Bahia			+13.4		-1.7

Gremio 1 Guarani 4
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Guarani			-12.9		+0.9

Portuguesa 2 Criciuma 2
Sun	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Criciuma			+5.3		-0.6

Week of 11/8
Atletico-MG 3 Vitoria 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	In
Juventude	+29.7				+0.3
Vitoria	-37.3				-0.6
Botafogo	+7.5				+0.2

Bahia 0 Juventude 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Palmeiras	In
Juventude	-3.9
Vitoria	+8.3
Botafogo	Out
Gremio			No
Corinthians			-6.3		+0.2
Atletico-PR			No
Bragantino			-8.1		+0.2
Bahia			+14.1		-1.3

Botafogo 3 Portuguesa 3
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Botafogo	Out				-0.4

Guarani 3 Vasco da Gama 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			+0.3		-0.2
Corinthians			+10.4		-0.4
Atletico-PR			+0.5		-0.2
Guarani			-56.1		+2.7
Bragantino			+13.3		-0.4
Bahia			+14.8		-0.3

Criciuma 1 Atletico-PR 1
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Corinthians			-6.3		+0.4
Atletico-PR			No
Bragantino			-8.1		+0.4
Bahia			-0.2		-0.2
Criciuma			+24.2		-0.5

Internacional 7 Bragantino 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			No		+0.2
Atletico-PR			No		+0.2
Bragantino			+16.6		-2.1

Goias 0 Corinthians 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			+0.3
Corinthians			No		+3.0
Atletico-PR			+0.5
Goias					-2.1

Santos 2 Cruzeiro 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Atletico-PR			+0.2
Cruzeiro			-4.8		-0.5

Coritiba 2 America-RN 0
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Coritiba			No		+3.1
Atletico-PR			+0.2

Fluminense 0 Gremio 2
Sat	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Serie B	100.0*	Average seed
Gremio			No		+2.3

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Campeonato Brasileiro - Serie A Playoff Chances 1997 50/50

Big Games