Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will make playoffsChance will finish regular season at seedSerie B
PGW-D-LGD%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Cruzeiro4413-5-514In1001.0+1.12No2Cruzeiro Esporte Clube
Guarani4313-4-69In1002.0+0.95No3Guarani Futebol Clube
Palmeiras4312-7-422In1003.0+0.33No1Sociedade Esportiva Palmeiras
Atletico-PR3912-3-813In1004.0-0.29No6Clube Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG3912-3-87In1005.0-1.02No4Clube Atletico Mineiro
Gremio3811-5-715In1006.0-0.98No5Gremio Foot-Ball Porto Alegrense
Goias3711-4-810In+60.21007.0+1.93No11Goias Esporte Clube
Portuguesa3611-3-93In+80.61008.0+2.21No9Associacao Portuguesa de Desportos
Internacional3510-5-84Out-59.31009.0-0.81No8Sport Club Internacional
Sport Recife3510-5-81Out-55.810010.0-1.70No12Sport Club do Recife
Sao Paulo359-8-66Out-25.710011.0-1.47No10Sao Paulo Futebol Clube
Corinthians327-11-51Out10012.0+0.94No7Sport Club Corinthians Paulista
Flamengo309-3-11-6Out10013.0+0.45No14Clube de Regatas do Flamengo
Coritiba298-5-10-5Out10014.0+1.28No16Coritiba Football Club
Vitoria298-5-10-7Out10015.0-0.20No19Esporte Clube Vitoria
Parana288-4-11-4Out10016.0+0.98No13Parana Clube
Botafogo287-7-9-2Out10017.0-0.92No15Botafogo de Futebol e Regatas
Vasco da Gama278-3-12-6Out10018.0-1.11No17Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama
Juventude278-3-12-6Out10019.0+0.58No18Esporte Clube Juventude
Santos277-6-10-5Out10020.0-2.26No20Santos Futebol Clube
Criciuma236-5-12-8Out10021.0+0.56No-12.421Criciuma Esporte Clube
Bahia235-8-10-10Out10022.0No-29.223Esporte Clube Bahia
Fluminense226-4-13-24Out10023.0-0.42Yes+41.722Fluminense Football Club
Bragantino195-4-14-22Out10024.0-0.14Yes24Clube Atletico Bragantino

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 11/7
Guarani 0 Portuguesa 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Guarani-8.2
-1.2
Portuguesa+23.7
+1.7
Goias 4 Juventude 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias+15.1
+1.9
Juventude-2.3
-1.6
Santos 1 Vitoria 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria-14.2
-1.5
Atletico-MG 5 Vasco da Gama 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MG+10.4
+1.3
Vasco da Gama-2.2
-1.5
Internacional 2 Parana 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Internacional+9.6
*No
+1.9
ParanaOut
+1.6
-1.2
Sport Recife 0 Corinthians 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sport Recife-3.2
-0.4
Corinthians-5.7
-0.4
Vasco da Gama 1 Santos 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-6.0
-1.5
Corinthians 0 Bahia 0
Wed100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Corinthians-5.9
-0.3
Bahia+4.0
-0.3
Bragantino-1.0
Coritiba 0 Flamengo 0
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Flamengo-4.6
-0.4
Sao Paulo 2 Gremio 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+3.5
No
+1.7
Fluminense 2 Atletico-PR 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Criciuma-6.6
Fluminense+17.2
-0.7
Criciuma 2 Palmeiras 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Criciuma-20.7
+0.6
Fluminense+8.0
-0.2
Bahia 4 Bragantino 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Bahia-21.8
+0.7
Bragantino+22.0
-0.8
Week of 11/14
Cruzeiro 3 Sport Recife 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CruzeiroIn
+1.0
Sport Recife-20.9
-1.3
Portuguesa 1 Internacional 2
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa-19.8
-1.3
Internacional+17.4
+1.7
Corinthians 1 Goias 1
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-PR*In
Goias-8.0
-0.3
Corinthians-7.2
-0.3
Vitoria 0 Guarani 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Guarani+14.2
+1.4
Vitoria-8.9
-1.4
Bragantino 3 Sao Paulo 4
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+7.6
+1.6
Criciuma-5.9
+0.2
Bahia-6.9
+0.2
Fluminense-6.1
+0.2
Bragantino+20.1
-0.6
Flamengo 3 Fluminense 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaNo
JuventudeNo
SantosNo
Criciuma-5.9
Bahia-8.0
+0.2
Fluminense+20.8
-0.6
Bragantino-6.0
+0.2
Palmeiras 2 Atletico-MG 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
PalmeirasIn
+1.2
Atletico-MG-1.7
-1.1
Cruzeiro 0 Coritiba 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Cruzeiro+0.1
-0.2
CoritibaOut
-0.4
Juventude 3 Botafogo 5
Sat100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
BotafogoNo
+1.7
JuventudeOut
-1.5
Vasco da Gama 4 Criciuma 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da GamaNo
+1.4
JuventudeNo
-0.2
SantosNo
-0.2
Criciuma+16.9
-0.6
Fluminense-5.1
Santos 3 Atletico-PR 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
SantosNo
+1.3
Parana 2 Bahia 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
ParanaNo
+1.2
Vasco da GamaNo
JuventudeNo
-0.2
SantosNo
Criciuma-5.9
Bahia+20.2
-0.7
Fluminense-7.0
Bragantino-5.7
Week of 11/21
Gremio 1 Goias 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Gremio-1.3
Goias+45.8
+1.2
Portuguesa-10.3
-0.3
Internacional-12.4
-0.2
Sport Recife-12.0
-0.2
Sao Paulo-11.1
-0.3
Bragantino 1 Internacional 0
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias+11.7
+0.3
Portuguesa+6.3
Internacional-35.5
-1.0
Sport Recife+10.7
+0.3
Sao Paulo+6.8
Palmeiras 4 Sport Recife 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Goias+11.7
+0.3
Portuguesa+6.3
Internacional+9.8
+0.3
Sport Recife-34.6
-0.9
Sao Paulo+6.8
Portuguesa 4 Botafogo 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa+31.8
+1.7
Internacional-13.7
-0.4
Sport Recife-12.9
-0.4
Botafogo-1.7
Parana 1 Sao Paulo 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Portuguesa+6.3
Internacional+8.4
+0.2
Sport Recife+7.9
+0.2
Sao PauloOut
-0.5
Parana-0.3
Sao Paulo 1 Cruzeiro 0
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Sao Paulo+16.8
+1.4
Atletico-MG 3 Atletico-PR 2
Thu100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Atletico-MGIn
+1.5
Vitoria 1 Fluminense 3
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vitoria-1.3
Criciuma+20.3
-0.4
Bahia+23.7
-0.3
Fluminense-44.0
+0.8
Flamengo 0 Bahia 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Criciuma+11.2
-0.3
BahiaNo
+0.6
Fluminense+18.1
-0.3
Atletico-PR 1 Criciuma 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
CriciumaNo
+0.6
Fluminense+8.9
-0.2
Vasco da Gama 0 Guarani 2
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Vasco da Gama-1.9
Cruzeiro 2 Santos 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Santos-1.6
Corinthians 1 Coritiba 1
Sun100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Serie B100.0*Average seed
Coritiba-0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Marcos Vilhena for adding this league.