New York Islanders Playoff Chances 1990-1991

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.4 to 50.7%
4 points   2-0 5 0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Maple Leafs 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Islanders vs Devils+3.9-5.5
+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.4
Flyers vs Capitals+0.3-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffsTrophy1234567891011Count
118-150InYes100135,655*
11656-0170In99.1%1000317
11455-0180In99.81001,007
11254-0190In99.110003,384
11053-0200In98.7100010,184
10852-0210In97.299128,981
10651-0220In94.2982076,802
10450-0230In88.89640189,950
10249-0240In80.093700440,390
10048-0250In67.1871200958,846
9847-0260In50.278201001,961,129
9646-0270In31.7663140003,780,020
9445-0280In15.6504191006,849,390
9244-0290In5.3334618300011,698,249
9043-0300In1.01743318100018,838,692
8842-0310100.0%0.173038204000028,636,727
8641-0320100.00.02153432143000041,074,792
8440-0330100.00.00520342811200055,682,349
8239-034099.8No0172334259200071,259,104
8038-035098.5No0018243323810086,207,172
7837-036091.7No00021025332271098,558,906
7636-037073.8No00021127332051106,488,111
7435-038047.0No00003133034173108,756,137
7234-039022.7No000041836329104,971,541
7033-04008.3No0001727432295,741,559
6832-04102.3No000215434082,494,613
6631-04200.5No0007355867,126,945
6430-04300.1No0002247351,581,872
6229-04400.0No001158437,376,398
6028-04500.0No0089125,547,330
5827-04600.0No0049616,451,008
5626-0470OutNo02989,983,088
5425-0480OutNo01995,698,715
5224-0490OutNo001003,051,655
5023-0500OutNo01001,535,438
4822-0510OutNo0100723,546
4621-0520OutNo0100318,833
4420-0530OutNo0100131,492
4219-0540OutNo010050,521
4018-0550OutNo010018,117
4-38OutNo100144,051*
Total:50.7%0.5%23467810111316211,144,583,016

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders vs Devils-0.5+0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021
118-150100
11656-0170991
11455-01801000
11254-0190991
11053-0200991
10852-02109730
10651-02209460
10450-0230891100
10249-02408019100
10048-025067294000
9847-0260503910100
9646-02703243204000
9445-02801638321220000
9244-0290523352592000
9043-030018243323920000
8842-031001822312410200000
8641-0320001619292613410000
8440-033000014132629197200000
8239-034000001719292513410000
8038-03500000311242921920000
7837-03600000161628271651000
7636-037000000210223023102000
7435-0380000015162828154100
7234-039000001313273119610
7033-0400000031126332160
6832-0410000003122935183
6631-042000000316363411
6430-043000016254424
6229-04400002144440
6028-045000063657
5827-04600022672
5626-04700011783
5425-0480001090
5224-049000594
5023-05000397
4822-05100199
4621-05200199
4420-05300100
4219-05400100
4018-05500100
4-38100
Total:011223334455667788997