New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 1990-1991

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 79.5%
11 points   5-0 3 1

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Rangers 5 Maple Leafs 1 *-0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Average seed
Islanders vs Devils-2.8+4.0
-0.5+0.8
-0.3+0.4
Flyers vs Capitals+0.2-0.4
-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-WLTplayoffsTrophy1234567891011Count
119-153InYes100137,987*
11753-0180In99.9%10005,535
11552-0190In99.8100016,810
11351-0200In99.6100047,093
11150-0210In99.01000122,459
10949-0220In97.7991299,129
10748-0230In95.29820681,076
10547-0240In90.697301,457,763
10346-0250In83.0937002,915,278
10145-0260In71.388120005,478,020
9944-0270In55.580191009,684,558
9743-0280In37.2682930016,085,164
9542-0290In19.95439700025,159,464
9341-0300In7.7374615200037,066,394
9140-0310In1.9224626500051,461,532
8939-0320In0.210363714200067,357,537
8738-0330100.0%0.0322392781000083,144,279
8537-0340100.00.0192936205100096,807,428
8336-0350100.0No021432321640000106,368,795
8135-036099.7No004173230133000110,283,690
7934-037097.4No001519332812200107,913,654
7733-038088.4No00017213326102099,608,279
7532-039068.2No000182434247186,729,792
7331-040041.5No0000211283520471,231,668
7130-041019.3No000031635341155,140,524
6929-04206.8No0001625432540,237,123
6728-04301.9No000213424327,646,351
6527-04400.4No00006336017,882,899
6326-04500.1No0002237510,878,732
6125-04600.0No00114866,214,452
5924-04700.0No0008923,337,444
5723-04800.0No004961,679,326
5522-0490OutNo0298791,948
5321-0500OutNo0199348,592
5120-0510OutNo0100143,044
4919-0520OutNo010054,812
4718-0530OutNo010019,560
4517-0540OutNo01006,508
11-43OutNo100138,317*
Total:79.5%2.6%710111111111098751,144,583,016

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

MondayNone
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Islanders vs Devils+0.5-0.7

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-WLT123456789101112131415161718192021
119-153100
11753-01801000
11552-01901000
11351-02001000
11150-02109910
10949-02209820
10748-023095500
10547-024091900
10346-02508316100
10145-026071263000
9944-027055368100
9743-028037431730000
9542-029020412991000
9341-0300828362161000
9140-031021229321851000
8939-03200313283018610000
8738-033000312253020820000
8537-03400002821302411300000
8336-035000015152728176100000
8135-036000002821292411300000
7934-037000001413262919710000
7733-038000000271929261341000
7532-03900000141325291971000
7331-040000002921302411200
7130-04100000171931271230
6929-042000016193329112
6728-04300000172236277
6527-0440000210304118
6326-04500003184434
6125-046000193952
5924-047000032968
5723-04800011980
5522-0490001188
5321-05000694
5120-05100397
4919-05200298
4718-0530199
4517-05400100
4316-05500100
11-41100
Total:344556666666655544332