"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Penguins 4 Turtles 0 -17.2
+17.2
-1.3
Cheesesteaks 4 LAHC 0 -3.7
+3.7
-0.1
Tsunamis 1 Pixies 2 +2.2
-2.2
+0.1
Forest Fires 5 Cop Killas 0 -0.8
+0.8
-0.0
Bears 3 Leopards 5 +0.5
-0.5
+0.1
Snipers 0 Yetis 5 +0.4
-0.4
+0.0
Costanzas 0 Crabs 2 -0.2
+0.2
-0.1
Princes 0 Trains 1 (ot)+0.1
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTAway OTAway
Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Turtles vs Princes+15.3+2.3-13.8-27.5
-15.3-2.3+13.8+27.5
+0.7+0.1-0.6-1.3
Yetis vs Squares+2.4-0.7-4.2-6.3
-2.4+0.7+4.2+6.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1-0.2
Seals vs Tsunamis+2.4+1.0-1.6-4.3
-2.4-1.0+1.6+4.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.2
Pixies vs Bears+0.9*-0.1-0.9-1.3
-0.9*+0.1+0.9+1.3
+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1
Trains vs Snipers+0.3+0.1-0.2-0.7
-0.3-0.1+0.2+0.7
Bosses vs Penguins+0.4-0.1-0.4-0.6
-0.4+0.1+0.4+0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Turtles finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs1234567891011121314151617181920RelegatedCount
324-00-0In0017283721500No612,941
313-10-0In011130351840No610,034
303-00-1100.0%00192838213000.0%800,980
2-20-0100.000192838203000.0229,015
293-01-099.5002143636101000.53,206,466
2-10-199.400214363711100.6599,639
1-30-099.40214363610100.637,855
282-11-097.00052343243003.02,403,440
2-00-297.00052344253003.0323,280
1-20-196.9005234425303.1149,600
0-40-096.514244424303.52,410
272-01-181.800630461620018.22,586,367
1-21-082.000630461620018.0601,455
1-10-282.00063046162018.0160,823
0-30-182.6063046152017.412,633
262-02-058.800113453370041.25,174,197
1-11-159.100113453370040.91,290,582
0-31-059.10113453470040.949,925
1-00-358.70113453371041.348,754
0-20-259.50113453370040.520,134
251-12-036.100531431830063.92,585,424
1-01-235.100430431930064.9583,680
0-21-136.30053144182063.7161,433
0-10-335.4043143183064.612,280
241-02-19.600933381630090.42,328,215
0-22-010.2001035381520089.8322,459
0-11-210.0001035381520090.0145,154
0-00-410.60103438152089.42,453
231-03-02.002183831101098.03,110,555
0-12-12.00219393091098.0581,642
0-01-31.902173631122098.139,064
220-13-00.4082838224099.6776,066
0-02-20.3062437267099.7234,535
210-03-10.000519403320100.0623,325
200-04-0Out017305490Yes627,625
Total:54.9%00001249162319137420045.1%31,054,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs