ECHL Playoff Chances 11-12

															100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Brabham			Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI	Strength

AK	97		43	18		-	11	52	In			Yes		+2.1	100												1.0		6	.645	Alaska Aces
ELM	95		45	22		-	5	24	In			No			100												1.0	+0.56	7	.544	Elmira Jackals
ONT	94		43	21		-	8	49	In			No				100											2.0	+0.48	4	.611	Ontario Reign
GWT	93		41	20		-	11	14	In			No		-2.1		100											2.0	-0.52	1	.530	Gwinnett Gladiators
LV	92		42	22		-	8	37	In			No					100										3.0	-0.48	5	.600	Las Vegas Wranglers
GRN	88		41	25		-	6	17	In			No					100										3.0	-0.04	2	.543	Greenville Road Warriors
FLA	85		39	26		-	7	42	In			No						100									4.0	+0.82	3	.602	Florida Everblades
COL	82		38	28		-	6	-2	In			No						100									4.0		9	.501	Colorado Eagles
KAL	84		38	26		-	8	27	In			No							100								5.0	-0.57	13	.567	Kalamazoo Wings
STK	73		34	33		-	5	-12	In			No							100								5.0	+0.02	12	.471	Stockton Thunder
WHL	83		37	26		-	9	17	In		+0.6	No								100							6.0	-0.05	11	.551	Wheeling Nailers
UTA	72		33	33		-	6	-40	In			No								100							6.0	+0.03	15	.405	Utah Grizzlies
SC	81		37	28		-	7	11	In		+26.7	No									100						7.0	+0.76	8	.534	South Carolina Stingrays
Steelheads	71		31	32		-	9	-42	In			No									100						7.0	-0.05	14	.400	Idaho Steelheads
REA	80		36	28		-	8	-6	In		+38.3	No										100					8.0	+0.12	10	.492	Reading Royals
BAK	55		24	41		-	7	-42	In			No										100					8.0		19	.410	Bakersfield Condors
CHI	80		34	26		-	12	-18	Out		-36.5	No											100				9.0	-0.18	17	.464	Chicago Express
CIN	79		35	28		-	9	1	Out		-29.1	No												100			10.0	-0.91	16	.517	Cincinnati Cyclones
TOL	62		28	38		-	6	-69	Out			No													100		11.0		18	.347	Toledo Walleye
TRE	52		21	41		-	10	-60	Out			No														100	12.0		20	.387	Trenton Titans

Wednesday
CHI 4 CIN 1
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
WHL	+0.2
SC	+2.2
REA	+4.2
CHI	+18.0				+0.5
CIN	-24.7				-0.7

REA 3 WHL 0
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
KAL	-0.1				+0.2
WHL	-0.6				-0.4
SC	-7.1
REA	+19.5				+0.5
CHI	-4.8
CIN	-7.0

TOL 1 KAL 6
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
KAL	In				+0.3

FLA 0 GWT 2
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			-2.3
ELM					-0.2
ONT			-0.4
GWT			+2.8		+0.3
FLA					-0.4
KAL					+0.2
WHL					+0.2

BAK 2 AK 3
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			+5.6
ELM			No
ONT			No
GWT			-1.1

COL 3 ONT 1
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			+2.7
ELM			+0.7
ONT			No		-0.2
GWT			+0.6
LV					+0.2

TRE 1 ELM 2 (ot)
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			-0.2
ELM			+0.4		+0.2

Steelheads 2 STK 3
7:10 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
STK					+0.2
Steelheads					-0.2

Friday
GRN 2 SC 3
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
WHL	-0.4
SC	+23.0				+0.8
REA	-7.8				-0.2
CHI	-8.5				-0.2
CIN	-6.2

CHI 4 KAL 2
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
FLA					+0.3
KAL					-0.4
WHL	-0.5
SC	-6.0				-0.2
REA	-8.4				-0.2
CHI	+18.5				+0.5
CIN	-3.5

CIN 5 TOL 2
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC	-2.0
REA	-6.6
CHI	-3.1
CIN	+11.7				+0.3

ELM 3 REA 2 (ot)
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
ELM					+0.2
WHL	-0.4
SC	-3.8
REA	+9.8				+0.2
CHI	+0.7
CIN	-6.3

TRE 1 WHL 4
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
WHL	In				+0.3
SC	-0.3
CHI	-0.3

ONT 2 AK 1 (ot)
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			Yes
ONT					+0.2
GWT			No
LV					-0.2

FLA 5 GWT 3
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			Yes
ELM					+0.2
GWT			No		-0.2
FLA					+0.2

Saturday
CIN 3 CHI 2 (ot)
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC	-11.3
REA	+16.0
CHI	+11.6				+0.4
CIN	Out				-0.4

REA 6 TRE 4
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC	-5.7
REA	+25.1				+0.5
CHI	-3.0				-0.2
CIN	Out				-0.2

SC 5 GRN 2
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC	In				+0.5
REA	-8.4				-0.2
CHI	-3.2				-0.2

LV 5 STK 2
11:59 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			-0.4
LV			+0.7

LV 4 UTA 3
11:59 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK			-0.4
ONT			-0.3
LV			+0.9
UTA			*No

ONT 6 AK 1
6:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
ONT					+0.4
LV					-0.4

FLA 5 GWT 2
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
ELM					+0.2
GWT					-0.2
FLA					+0.3
KAL					-0.2

Steelheads 4 STK 3
7:10 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
UTA					-0.2
Steelheads					+0.2

BAK 0 UTA 4
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
UTA					+0.2
Steelheads					-0.2

TOL 2 KAL 3
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
KAL					+0.3
WHL					-0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

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