ECHL Playoff Chances 09-10 50/50

														100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
Chance will make playoffs												Brabham		Chance will finish regular season at seed
	P	G	W		L	-	OT	GD	%	Change		%	Change	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	Avg.	Change	RPI

Steelheads	103		48	17		-	7	69	In			Yes		100												1.0		1	Idaho Steelheads
SC	94		41	19		-	12	32	In			No		100												1.0	+1.48	6	South Carolina Stingrays
KAL	94		42	20		-	10	30	In			No			100											2.0	+0.52	3	Kalamazoo Wings
BAK	81		38	29		-	5	-11	In			No			100											2.0	+0.62	10	Bakersfield Condors
CHR	94		43	21		-	8	30	In			No				100										3.0	-1.02	2	Charlotte Checkers
AK	80		36	28		-	8	-8	In			No				100										3.0	+0.74	9	Alaska Aces
CIN	91		44	25		-	3	35	In			No					100									4.0	-0.98	5	Cincinnati Cyclones
UTA	77		34	29		-	9	7	In			No					100									4.0	+0.77	11	Utah Grizzlies
FLA	85		38	25		-	9	13	In			No						100								5.0	+0.25	4	Florida Everblades
STK	76		33	29		-	10	-6	In			No						100								5.0	-0.93	13	Stockton Thunder
ELM	83		37	26		-	9	44	In			No							100							6.0	-0.21	17	Elmira Jackals
LV	76		34	30		-	8	-23	In			No							100							6.0	-0.84	15	Las Vegas Wranglers
REA	80		37	29		-	6	-21	In		+13.6	No								100						7.0	+0.89	14	Reading Royals
VIC	74		34	32		-	6	-13	In			No								100						7.0	-0.27	12	Victoria Salmon Kings
TOL	77		35	30		-	7	-20	In		+1.5	No									100					8.0	-0.76	7	Toledo Walleye
ONT	72		31	31		-	10	-15	In			No									100					8.0	-0.09	19	Ontario Reign
TRE	75		33	30		-	9	-8	Out		-15.1	No										100				9.0	-0.09	18	Trenton Devils
WHL	73		33	32		-	7	-9	Out			No											100			10.0	+0.34	16	Wheeling Nailers
GWT	70		31	33		-	8	-34	Out			No												100		11.0	-0.41	8	Gwinnett Gladiators
JHN	47		18	43		-	11	-92	Out			No													100	12.0		20	Johnstown Chiefs

Thursday
LV 5 ONT 2
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
LV					+0.7
ONT					-0.4

Friday
WHL 6 REA 7 (so)
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
REA	In				+0.3
TOL	-1.4				-0.2
TRE	-12.2

TRE 5 ELM 3
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
FLA					+0.2
ELM					-0.2
REA	-10.2
TOL	-1.9
TRE	+12.1				+0.2

KAL 6 TOL 2
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					-0.2
KAL					+0.6
CHR					-0.2
CIN					-0.2
REA					+0.2
TOL	-2.3				-0.3
TRE	+2.4

VIC 9 UTA 2
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK					+0.2
UTA					-1.0
STK					+0.2
LV					+0.2
VIC					+0.5

LV 2 ONT 1
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK					-0.2
UTA					-0.2
STK					-0.2
LV					+0.6

GWT 3 SC 4
7:35 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					+0.6
KAL					-0.2
CHR					-0.2
CIN					-0.2
WHL					+0.2
GWT					-0.3

AK 3 STK 2 (so)
7:15 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK					+0.5
STK					-0.0
LV					-0.2

FLA 1 CHR 3
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					-0.2
KAL					-0.2
CHR					+0.5
FLA					-0.2
ELM					+0.2

BAK 2 Steelheads 1
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
BAK					+0.4
STK					-0.2

CIN 5 JHN 1
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					-0.2
KAL					-0.2
CHR					-0.2
CIN					+0.5

Saturday
KAL 3 TOL 2
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					-0.3
KAL					+0.8
CHR					-0.2
CIN					-0.3
REA					+0.3
TOL	-26.9				-0.6
TRE	+26.9				+0.3

REA 8 TRE 4
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
REA					+0.3
TOL	In
TRE	Out				-0.2

CHR 0 TOL 7
11:59 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
CHR	-2.0		-0.8		-0.5
REA	-0.8
TOL	+6.0				+0.5
TRE			*No
WHL	-0.9
GWT	-0.8

LV 3 Steelheads 1
11:59 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
Steelheads			-5.9
SC			+2.1
BAK			+1.0
LV					+0.2

AK 4 STK 1
7:15 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
BAK					-0.2
AK					+0.8
UTA					+0.3
STK					-1.0
LV					+0.1

VIC 2 UTA 5
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
UTA					+0.8
STK					-0.2
LV					-0.2
VIC					-0.4

LV 1 ONT 7
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
AK					+0.2
UTA					+0.3
STK					+0.3
LV					-0.8

GWT 0 SC 3
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					+0.8
KAL					-0.3
CHR					-0.2
CIN					-0.3
WHL					+0.2
GWT					-0.2

WHL 4 CIN 1
6:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					+0.3
KAL					+0.3
CHR					+0.2
CIN					-0.8
WHL					+0.2
GWT					-0.2

FLA 4 CHR 3 (so)
7:30 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
SC					+0.2
KAL					+0.2
CHR					-0.2
CIN					-0.2
FLA					+0.2
ELM					-0.2

BAK 2 Steelheads 1 (ot)
7:00 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
BAK					+0.2
AK					-0.2

JHN 3 ELM 5
7:05 PM	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Brabham	100.0*	Average seed
FLA					-0.2
ELM					+0.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

ECHL Playoff Chances 09-10 50/50

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