Welcome. This site sheds light on 3 things:

  • A team’s odds of making the playoffs.
  • How today’s games impact those odds.
  • How well they need to finish the season to have a shot.

Monday’s biggest movers

Up
TeamChance:ChangeBiggest Reason WhyLeague
Philadelphia Philliesmake playoffs65.3%+10.6Reds 0 - 7 PhilliesMLB
Detroit Tigersmake playoffs44.4+10.3Rays 1 - 7 TigersMLB
San Diego Padresmake playoffs43.6+5.2Rockies 1 - 3 PadresMLB
Toronto Blue Jaysmake playoffs26.9+4.5Royals 3 - 5 Blue JaysMLB
Pittsburgh Piratesmake playoffs31.6+4.2Pirates 4 - 2 BrewersMLB
Minnesota Twinsmake playoffs7.9+2.9Twins 7 - 0 White SoxMLB
Atlanta Bravesmake playoffs86.4+2.6Braves 3 - 0 MarlinsMLB
St. Louis Cardinalsmake playoffs9.0+1.8Cardinals 5 - 3 DiamondbacksMLB
Oakland Athleticsmake playoffs4.7+1.0Yankees 0 - 2 AthleticsMLB
Down
Cincinnati Redsmake playoffs44.5-12.0Reds 0 - 7 PhilliesMLB
Arizona Diamondbacksmake playoffs48.5-5.6Cardinals 5 - 3 DiamondbacksMLB
Kansas City Royalsmake playoffs74.9-5.5Royals 3 - 5 Blue JaysMLB
New York Yankeesmake playoffs73.1-5.2Yankees 0 - 2 AthleticsMLB
Tampa Bay Raysmake playoffs8.9-5.2Rays 1 - 7 TigersMLB
Milwaukee Brewersmake playoffs82.7-2.9Pirates 4 - 2 BrewersMLB
New York Metsmake playoffs50.5-1.3Giants 5 - 2 MetsMLB
Washington Nationalsmake playoffs17.6-0.9Rockies 1 - 3 PadresMLB
Chicago Cubsmake playoffs59.1-0.7Rockies 1 - 3 PadresMLB
Seattle Marinersmake playoffs44.7-0.6Rays 1 - 7 TigersMLB

Tuesday’s biggest games

Total swing: Adds up the "chance in playoffs" swing (difference between best and worst case outcomes) this game has on all teams. (Or chance of winning the title for non-playoff leagues.)

GameTotal swingLeague
JuniorvsLDU93Libertadores
Colo-ColovsAlianza Lima85Libertadores
LeicestervsSouthampton82Championship
Atletico-MGvsPenarol67Libertadores
CaracasvsRosario Central66Libertadores
EstudiantesvsGremio64Libertadores
LiverpoolvsSan Lorenzo56Libertadores
RangersvsMariners16MLB
CubsvsAstros15MLB
RedsvsPhillies14MLB